# Early November Climate Outlook

> A Washington climate outlook reports very strong El Niño conditions, with the August–October seasonal index at +2.0°C and a possible peak during October–December. November and November–January forecasts favor warmer-than-normal temperatures statewide, with precipitation patterns varying by region and slightly greater dryness risk in northeastern Washington.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T03:15:45.820Z
- Category: weather · region Washington, US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/90793-early-november-climate-outlook
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The outlook signals possible weather stress for regional crop production, though the precipitation forecast is mixed and no specific crop impact is quantified. This creates a potential supply risk but does not establish a clear price direction.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-10-17 | [Corn Belt Precipitation Outlook Through Early November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13147-corn-belt-precipitation-outlook-through-early-november.md) | +2.1% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2018-08-30 | [Seasonal climate outlook September - November 2018 \| Earth Sciences New Zealand \| NIWA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63453-seasonal-climate-outlook-september-november-2018-earth-sciences-new-zealand-niwa.md) | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2017-08-30 | [Seasonal climate outlook: September 2017 - November 2017 \| Earth Sciences New Zealand \| NIWA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69372-seasonal-climate-outlook-september-2017-november-2017-earth-sciences-new.md) | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2018-10-19 | [Southwest Climate Outlook El Niño Tracker - October 2018 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62474-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2018-climas.md) | -2.9% | -6.2% |
| CORN | 2019-10-16 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - October 2019 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56494-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2019-climas.md) | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| SOY | 2024-10-17 | [Corn Belt Precipitation Outlook Through Early November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13147-corn-belt-precipitation-outlook-through-early-november.md) | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| SOY | 2018-08-30 | [Seasonal climate outlook September - November 2018 \| Earth Sciences New Zealand \| NIWA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63453-seasonal-climate-outlook-september-november-2018-earth-sciences-new-zealand-niwa.md) | +0.4% | +3.9% |
| SOY | 2018-10-19 | [Southwest Climate Outlook El Niño Tracker - October 2018 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62474-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2018-climas.md) | -2.5% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- climate.uw.edu: https://climate.uw.edu/2026/11/09/early-november-climate-outlook-2/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.