# Canadian Wheat Crop Falls 9.6% in 2026

> USDA FAS expects Canada’s 2026 wheat crop to total 36.1 million tonnes, down 9.6% from the previous season, with lower harvested area and yields linked to wet spring planting and July heat. Grain quality also weakened: 79% of spring wheat samples met top grades versus 91% a year earlier, while exports are forecast to fall 2.8% and the stocks-to-use ratio to remain below its five-year average.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T00:17:31.433Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/90441-canadian-wheat-crop-falls-9-6-in-2026
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower production, weaker milling quality and reduced export prospects tighten the supply of exportable wheat, supporting wheat prices; the larger feed-grade share could increase feed-wheat availability domestically.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-29 | [Smaller Australian wheat crop in 2025/26 \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25091-smaller-australian-wheat-crop-in-2025-26-farmtario.md) | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-29 | [Wheat growers bear brunt of fall in 2026-27 winter crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19232-wheat-growers-bear-brunt-of-fall-in-2026-27-winter-crop.md) | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-02 | [Canadian wheat and barley areas fall: Grain market daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29320-canadian-wheat-and-barley-areas-fall-grain-market-daily.md) | +8.9% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-28 | [Canadian wheat and barley areas fall: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29833-canadian-wheat-and-barley-areas-fall-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -2.2% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-12-13 | [Coceral sees smaller EU wheat crop in 2022 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43539-coceral-sees-smaller-eu-wheat-crop-in-2022-world-grain.md) | -6.0% | +1.3% |

## Sources

- feedandgrain.com: https://www.feedandgrain.com/business-markets/commodities/news/16424960/canadian-wheat-crop-falls-96-in-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.