# CPC's 9 November Deck: Niño 1+2 at 4.7 °C as RONI Climbs

> NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center maintained its El Niño Advisory on November 9, reporting weekly sea-surface temperature departures of 4.7°C in Niño 1+2 and 2.3°C in Niño 3.4, with the August–October RONI at 2.0°C. The CPC said the event is strengthening and put the chance of a strong-to-very-strong El Niño through January–March 2027 above 83%.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T00:16:39.746Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/90435-cpc-s-9-november-deck-nino-1-2-at-4-7-c-as-roni-climbs
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md)

## Why it matters

A strong El Niño raises the risk of disruptive rainfall and temperature patterns in major crop-producing regions, potentially tightening supplies and supporting prices for exposed crops. The article gives a climate outlook, not a quantified crop impact, so price effects remain uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +2.2% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2025-10-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026.md) | +1.0% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2022-11-10 | [November 2022 La Niña update: Let’s get some exercise \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38576-november-2022-la-nina-update-let-s-get-some-exercise-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +1.8% | -5.0% |
| CORN | 2019-11-01 | [November 2019 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55893-november-2019-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +0.4% | +0.3% |
| SOY | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +0.5% | -4.3% |
| SOY | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2025-10-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026.md) | +3.4% | +12.2% |

## Sources

- elnino.news: https://elnino.news/news/cpc-november-9-enso-deck-roni-2-0/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.