# El Niño threatens Nigeria’s food supply, raises costs – IFAD

> An IFAD report warned that El Niño could bring agricultural drought across a corridor from Senegal through Nigeria to Ethiopia and Sudan, worsening food insecurity alongside higher energy and fertilizer costs. During major El Niño events, rainfall deficits of 20–35% in the Sahel have been associated with yield losses of 15–30% in rain-fed staples, including sorghum and maize; the forecast has lower confidence for this corridor.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T00:16:39.679Z
- Category: weather · region Sahel · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/90434-el-nino-threatens-nigeria-s-food-supply-raises-costs-ifad
- Commodities: [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Drier conditions could reduce feed-grain availability and raise local procurement costs, while higher fertilizer and energy expenses add pressure to production costs. The risk is conditional on the weather outlook and could support sorghum and corn prices in affected markets.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-06-24 | [Drought hits the Midwest, threatening crops and the world’s food supply • Missouri Independent](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35662-drought-hits-the-midwest-threatening-crops-and-the-world-s-food-supply-missouri.md) | -8.7% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2026-10-04 | [2026-2027 El Niño food security impacts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17050-2026-2027-el-nino-food-security-impacts.md) | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| CORN | 2024-06-17 | [As El Niño Wanes, Food Security Pain Remains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29663-as-el-nino-wanes-food-security-pain-remains.md) | -4.3% | -9.0% |
| CORN | 2026-07-28 | [El Niño threatens agricultural production and food security across the continent; FAO advocates for timely anticipatory action](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18241-el-nino-threatens-agricultural-production-and-food-security-across-the.md) | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | +1.1% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- punchng.com: https://punchng.com/el-nino-threatens-nigerias-food-supply-raises-farm-costs-ifad/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.