# Global Wheat Production Forecast Revised Down Amid Weather Challenges

> The International Grains Council cut its 2026–27 global wheat production forecast by 3 million tonnes to 789 million tonnes, citing adverse weather in key growing regions. Lower output expectations in Canada, the United States, and Russia contrast with a forecast for steady global consumption.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T21:14:52.333Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/90216-global-wheat-production-forecast-revised-down-amid-weather-challenges
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller crop estimate alongside steady demand tightens the expected global wheat balance and could support wheat prices and alter trade flows.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-08-08 | [Wheat production forecast down: NAB - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69415-wheat-production-forecast-down-nab-grain-central.md) | +0.5% | -0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-29 | [Outlook Dims for Global Spring Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48188-outlook-dims-for-global-spring-wheat-production.md) | -0.5% | +4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-24 | [Wheat prices rose because of lower production forecast for Argentina](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10435-wheat-prices-rose-because-of-lower-production-forecast-for-argentina.md) | +6.7% | +11.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-28 | [Australia forecasts 34% decline in wheat production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35012-australia-forecasts-34-decline-in-wheat-production.md) | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-02-17 | [Dry Conditions Continue Affecting Global Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42757-dry-conditions-continue-affecting-global-wheat-production.md) | +3.9% | +12.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-03-29 | [Outlook Dims for Global Spring Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48188-outlook-dims-for-global-spring-wheat-production.md) | -0.9% | +23.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-06-22 | [Plains Drought Cuts Winter Wheat Production Forecast \| Agriculture of America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18860-plains-drought-cuts-winter-wheat-production-forecast-agriculture-of-america.md) | -5.1% | +12.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-12-13 | [Global Production Continues to Decrease Due to Weather Problems in Australia and Russia - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7510-global-production-continues-to-decrease-due-to-weather-problems-in-australia.md) | +5.1% | +4.3% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqL9fQeNhtkxd8UdydjRo3ZWg

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.