# Weekly Grains Outlook - Wasde and peace talks mean big week for gains. What will it bring?

> The outlook identifies Black Sea shipping disruption, smaller Argentine and Australian crops, and firm U.S. export sales as supportive factors for grains, while Southern Hemisphere harvest supply, fast Argentine corn sowing, and Russia-Ukraine peace talks could weigh on prices. Talks among Russia, Ukraine, and the United States were expected to focus on ending the war, with wheat markets viewed as vulnerable to renewed support if export conditions fail to improve.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T21:05:57.772Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/90127-weekly-grains-outlook-wasde-and-peace-talks-mean-big-week-for-gains-what-will
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Disrupted Black Sea shipping and damaged infrastructure constrain export availability and support wheat prices, while any agreement to reduce attacks on vessels or ports could ease that premium. Smaller crop expectations and possible Chinese buying also offer support to grains, though seasonal harvest supply is a bearish counterweight.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-10 | [CRMAgri - Latest - Weekly Grains Outlook - Black Sea shipping disruptions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14095-crmagri-latest-weekly-grains-outlook-black-sea-shipping-disruptions.md) | +0.7% | +8.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-27 | [Ukraine grain deal under threat: What does it mean for the Middle East and Africa? \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36308-ukraine-grain-deal-under-threat-what-does-it-mean-for-the-middle-east-and.md) | +1.1% | -2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-17 | [Russia-Ukraine grain deal: What does it mean for global food prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35104-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-what-does-it-mean-for-global-food-prices.md) | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-04-04 | [Grains gain as peace hopes fade in Ukraine – The Seam](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41882-grains-gain-as-peace-hopes-fade-in-ukraine-the-seam.md) | -7.3% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-03-01 | [Talks on extending Black Sea grain deal start in a week - Ukraine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14414-talks-on-extending-black-sea-grain-deal-start-in-a-week-ukraine.md) | -1.6% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2026-08-10 | [CRMAgri - Latest - Weekly Grains Outlook - Black Sea shipping disruptions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14095-crmagri-latest-weekly-grains-outlook-black-sea-shipping-disruptions.md) | +3.0% | +11.1% |
| CORN | 2023-04-27 | [Ukraine grain deal under threat: What does it mean for the Middle East and Africa? \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36308-ukraine-grain-deal-under-threat-what-does-it-mean-for-the-middle-east-and.md) | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| CORN | 2023-07-17 | [Russia-Ukraine grain deal: What does it mean for global food prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35104-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-what-does-it-mean-for-global-food-prices.md) | -8.6% | -12.6% |

## Sources

- crmagri.com: https://crmagri.com/latest/weekly-grains-outlook-wasde-and-peace-talks-mean-big-week-for-gains-what-will-it-bring

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.