# Canadian wheat output expected to fall by 10%

> USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service estimates Canada’s 2026-27 wheat crop at 36.1 million tonnes, 10% below the previous year’s record, citing lower harvested area and yields after wet, cool conditions delayed planting. Wheat and wheat-product exports are forecast to decline 2.8%, while domestic feed use is expected to rise partly because of potentially poorer grain quality.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T18:15:49.841Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89945-canadian-wheat-output-expected-to-fall-by-10
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower production and exportable supplies could support wheat prices, while increased feed use may add to demand for lower-quality wheat in feed rations.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-15 | [COMMODITIES 2026: Russian wheat output expected to fall as farmers pivot to oilseeds \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21431-commodities-2026-russian-wheat-output-expected-to-fall-as-farmers-pivot-to.md) | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-01 | [Australian wheat output projected to decline \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35902-australian-wheat-output-projected-to-decline-world-grain.md) | +1.9% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-02 | [Canadian wheat and barley areas fall: Grain market daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29320-canadian-wheat-and-barley-areas-fall-grain-market-daily.md) | +8.9% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [Australian Wheat Crop Expected to Drop 26% on Weather, War Costs - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18774-australian-wheat-crop-expected-to-drop-26-on-weather-war-costs-bloomberg.md) | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-28 | [Canadian wheat and barley areas fall: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29833-canadian-wheat-and-barley-areas-fall-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -2.2% | +3.1% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/23432-canadian-wheat-output-expected-to-fall-by-10

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.