# Thai rice exports head for five-year low amid Middle East conflict and rising prices

> Thailand’s 2026 rice export forecasts were cut to 6.5 million tonnes by both the USDA’s Bangkok office and the Department of Foreign Trade, putting exports on course for a five-year low. The article attributes the reduction to conflict disrupting sales to Iraq and higher Thai prices pushing buyers such as China and African markets toward cheaper suppliers.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T18:06:03.288Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Thailand · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89835-thai-rice-exports-head-for-five-year-low-amid-middle-east-conflict-and-rising
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Thai export availability could support global rice prices, while lost demand from Iraq and other price-sensitive buyers limits the upside. The shift may redirect import demand toward competing exporters.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2022-03-17 | [Rice Prices Rise in Asia Amid Stockpiling, Conflict - Laotian Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11339-rice-prices-rise-in-asia-amid-stockpiling-conflict-laotian-times.md) | +0.8% | -0.7% |
| RICE | 2020-03-26 | [Concern mounts that exporters will curb sales of food staples amid lockdowns \| The Straits Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54090-concern-mounts-that-exporters-will-curb-sales-of-food-staples-amid-lockdowns.md) | +3.2% | +22.4% |
| RICE | 2026-05-01 | [Thai and Vietnamese farmers may stop planting rice because of the Iran war. Here’s why](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10155-thai-and-vietnamese-farmers-may-stop-planting-rice-because-of-the-iran-war-here.md) | +8.1% | +16.8% |
| RICE | 2022-03-25 | [The feed factor: Global maize shortage could affect local rice market \| The Business Standard](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42352-the-feed-factor-global-maize-shortage-could-affect-local-rice-market-the.md) | -0.0% | +1.2% |
| RICE | 2026-09-25 | [What’s Behind the Latest Surge in Grain and Oilseed Prices?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11998-what-s-behind-the-latest-surge-in-grain-and-oilseed-prices.md) | -0.3% | +5.4% |

## Sources

- cropli.io: https://cropli.io/rice/2026/11/09/thai-rice-exports-head-for-five-year-low-as-price-premium-drives-off-buyers

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.