# Dollar opens with inflation forecasts and Brazilian trade data in focus

> The dollar rose slightly against the real as investors considered Brazil’s updated economic outlook and awaited trade-balance figures. The Focus survey raised its 2027 inflation forecast to 4.90% from 4.76% and indicated that analysts expected the next policy-rate cut only in March.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T15:10:23.213Z
- Category: macro · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89680-dollar-opens-with-inflation-forecasts-and-brazilian-trade-data-in-focus
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Higher inflation expectations and delayed rate cuts can weigh on the real, potentially raising Brazilian buyers’ local-currency costs for imported feed ingredients. The trade-balance release could also influence the exchange rate, but no result was reported in the text.

## Read by commodity

- USDBRL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2024-09-23 | [Dollar rises more than 1% at the start of a week marked by inflation data in Brazil and the US \| Brasil 247](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28517-dollar-rises-more-than-1-at-the-start-of-a-week-marked-by-inflation-data-in.md) | -1.1% | +3.9% |
| USDBRL | 2025-07-28 | [Latam FX weaken with focus on trade deals; Brazilian stocks slide — TradingView News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23998-latam-fx-weaken-with-focus-on-trade-deals-brazilian-stocks-slide-tradingview.md) | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| USDBRL | 2019-06-27 | [Brazilian real falls on economy worries, dollar lifts other Latam forex - Pension Policy International](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58796-brazilian-real-falls-on-economy-worries-dollar-lifts-other-latam-forex-pension.md) | +0.2% | -1.2% |
| USDBRL | 2025-08-27 | [Inflation surprise, Trump’s attack on Fed weigh on Brazilian assets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23528-inflation-surprise-trump-s-attack-on-fed-weigh-on-brazilian-assets.md) | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| USDBRL | 2022-04-25 | [Brazilian real tumbles amid rallying dollar and local tensions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6864-brazilian-real-tumbles-amid-rallying-dollar-and-local-tensions.md) | +3.5% | +2.0% |

## Sources

- g1.globo.com: https://g1.globo.com/economia/noticia/2026/11/09/dolar-ibovespa.ghtml

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.