# South Africa’s crop estimates for the 2026-27 season

> South Africa’s latest crop estimates point to the smallest wheat harvest in eight years, with production losses attributed to unfavourable weather and higher input costs; the country is expected to import about 2 million tonnes of wheat. Early planting indications show maize area declining significantly and sunflower area rising 45%, while total summer grain and oilseed area is expected to be near its five-year average.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T13:39:46.532Z
- Category: report · region South Africa · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89606-south-africa-s-crop-estimates-for-the-2026-27-season
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower domestic wheat output should increase import demand and support wheat prices, while reduced maize planting could tighten future local corn availability if yields do not compensate.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-02 | [ABSA -Crop market trends- South Africa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56683-absa-crop-market-trends-south-africa.md) | -4.5% | -2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-11 | [USDA trims South American corn, soybean estimates \| Crop Conditions \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25994-usda-trims-south-american-corn-soybean-estimates-crop-conditions-farmweeknow-com.md) | +2.0% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-04 | [EU cuts 2024/25 maize, soft wheat crop estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27355-eu-cuts-2024-25-maize-soft-wheat-crop-estimates.md) | +0.1% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [USDA Releases First New-Crop Estimates in Today's WASDE](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19197-usda-releases-first-new-crop-estimates-in-today-s-wasde.md) | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-14 | [Markets React as USDA Releases First Look at 2026/27 Estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19193-markets-react-as-usda-releases-first-look-at-2026-27-estimates.md) | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| CORN | 2024-05-13 | [What are the estimates for soy and corn supplies next season?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30219-what-are-the-estimates-for-soy-and-corn-supplies-next-season.md) | -0.0% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2019-10-02 | [ABSA -Crop market trends- South Africa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56683-absa-crop-market-trends-south-africa.md) | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-02-11 | [USDA trims South American corn, soybean estimates \| Crop Conditions \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25994-usda-trims-south-american-corn-soybean-estimates-crop-conditions-farmweeknow-com.md) | +1.4% | -5.7% |

## Sources

- farmersweekly.co.za: https://www.farmersweekly.co.za/videos/south-africas-crop-estimates-for-the-2026-27-season/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.