# EU Soybean Harvest Falls 20%: Drought, Restricted Non-GMO Supply and Price Outlook

> The EU’s 2026 soybean harvest is projected at about 2.4 million tonnes, roughly 20% below 2025, as drought and heat reduced yields and planted area declined. Lower European and Ukrainian supplies are expected to increase the EU’s reliance on imports, particularly non-GMO soybeans and meal from outside the region.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T13:39:15.205Z
- Category: weather · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89597-eu-soybean-harvest-falls-20-drought-restricted-non-gmo-supply-and-price-outlook
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced local supply increases import demand and replacement costs for feed processors, supporting soybean and soybean meal prices. The tighter availability of non-GMO material may also widen its premium.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2022-02-28 | [Soybean Prices Rise as South American Drought Reduces Harvest \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14055-soybean-prices-rise-as-south-american-drought-reduces-harvest-feed-and-grain.md) | +5.4% | +7.5% |
| SOY | 2022-02-25 | [Soybean Prices Rise as Drought in South America Reduces Harvest - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42625-soybean-prices-rise-as-drought-in-south-america-reduces-harvest-farmdoc-daily.md) | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2023-07-21 | [Drought drives down Argentina’s soybean outlook \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13958-drought-drives-down-argentina-s-soybean-outlook-world-grain.md) | +2.5% | -10.6% |
| SOY | 2019-02-06 | [Drought takes toll on soybean harvest in Goiás but spares Paraná - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60443-drought-takes-toll-on-soybean-harvest-in-goias-but-spares-parana-datamarnews.md) | -0.3% | -3.3% |
| SOY | 2017-12-08 | [Drought dries out corn and soy profits, raises prices  : The Daily Digest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67323-drought-dries-out-corn-and-soy-profits-raises-prices-the-daily-digest.md) | -2.4% | -3.4% |
| SBM | 2022-02-28 | [Soybean Prices Rise as South American Drought Reduces Harvest \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14055-soybean-prices-rise-as-south-american-drought-reduces-harvest-feed-and-grain.md) | +4.2% | +9.0% |
| SBM | 2022-02-25 | [Soybean Prices Rise as Drought in South America Reduces Harvest - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42625-soybean-prices-rise-as-drought-in-south-america-reduces-harvest-farmdoc-daily.md) | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| SBM | 2023-07-21 | [Drought drives down Argentina’s soybean outlook \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13958-drought-drives-down-argentina-s-soybean-outlook-world-grain.md) | +4.5% | -7.2% |

## Sources

- commodity-board.com: https://commodity-board.com/la-cosecha-de-soja-de-la-ue-se-desploma-un-20-la-sequia-restringe-la-oferta-no-modificada-geneticamente-y-eleva-los-precios

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.