# Grain exports at risk: Ukraine’s central bank assesses the impact of a prolonged blockade of seaports

> Ukraine’s central bank forecast that the blockade of major seaports could last at least until mid-2027, with alternative routes unable to move the full harvest before the marketing year ends. Exports rose from about 1.8 million tonnes in August to 2.7 million in September, but the bank warned that unsold grain could accumulate, increasing storage costs and the risk of losses.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T13:38:42.072Z
- Category: logistics · region Ukraine · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89592-grain-exports-at-risk-ukraine-s-central-bank-assesses-the-impact-of-a-prolonged
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Insufficient transport capacity can delay or prevent Ukrainian grain sales, weighing on domestic bids while reducing supply reaching world markets. Higher storage costs and unsold stocks may also constrain farmers’ finances and subsequent planting.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-07-28 | [Ukraine: suspension of shipping to Black Sea ports and the associated risks \| OSW Centre for Eastern Studies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14099-ukraine-suspension-of-shipping-to-black-sea-ports-and-the-associated-risks-osw.md) | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2020-03-16 | [Ukraine: in the second week of March, the seaports halved grains shipments](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53985-ukraine-in-the-second-week-of-march-the-seaports-halved-grains-shipments.md) | -4.7% | -5.7% |
| CORN | 2019-06-11 | [Ukraine: in the first week of June, the seaports halved grain shipment volumes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58443-ukraine-in-the-first-week-of-june-the-seaports-halved-grain-shipment-volumes.md) | +6.2% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2019-07-01 | [Ukraine: in the fourth week of June, the seaports decreased grain shipment volumes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57944-ukraine-in-the-fourth-week-of-june-the-seaports-decreased-grain-shipment-volumes.md) | +1.3% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2026-08-04 | [EXCLUSIVE: Ukraine turns to alternative grain export routes, counts losses as Russia blocks ports \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14091-exclusive-ukraine-turns-to-alternative-grain-export-routes-counts-losses-as.md) | -0.5% | +10.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-28 | [Ukraine: suspension of shipping to Black Sea ports and the associated risks \| OSW Centre for Eastern Studies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14099-ukraine-suspension-of-shipping-to-black-sea-ports-and-the-associated-risks-osw.md) | -0.3% | +4.8% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-16 | [Ukraine: in the second week of March, the seaports halved grains shipments](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53985-ukraine-in-the-second-week-of-march-the-seaports-halved-grains-shipments.md) | -3.2% | -5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2019-06-11 | [Ukraine: in the first week of June, the seaports halved grain shipment volumes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58443-ukraine-in-the-first-week-of-june-the-seaports-halved-grain-shipment-volumes.md) | -4.7% | -8.3% |

## Sources

- e-land.ua: https://e-land.ua/news/item/eksport-zerna-pid-zahrozoyu-nbu-otsinyv-naslidky-tryvaloho-blokuvannia-morskykh-portiv

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.