# With fewer grains and more droughts, Mexico’s agricultural sector prepares to face El Niño’s effects

> The article reports prolonged drought and declines in Mexican grain and oilseed production between 2018 and 2026, including lower output of wheat, soybeans, corn, rice and sorghum. Producers say limited financing, crop insurance and infrastructure leave rain-dependent farming regions vulnerable to another adverse season as El Niño poses an additional risk.

- Date: 2026-11-08 · published 2026-11-09T13:35:58.295Z
- Category: weather · region Mexico · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89567-with-fewer-grains-and-more-droughts-mexico-s-agricultural-sector-prepares-to
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md)

## Why it matters

Drought-related production losses could tighten domestic supplies and increase Mexico’s reliance on imports, supporting prices for affected grains and soybeans. A worsening El Niño impact would add further supply risk, particularly in rain-dependent areas.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-10 | [Argentina's agriculture to recover slowly despite El Niño -grains exchange](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13967-argentina-s-agriculture-to-recover-slowly-despite-el-nino-grains-exchange.md) | -0.6% | -7.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-29 | [Drought, low prices to drop Mexico’s grain production  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26570-drought-low-prices-to-drop-mexico-s-grain-production-world-grain.md) | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-27 | [Threat of El Niño looms, FAO prepares anticipatory actions with Members and partners](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36313-threat-of-el-nino-looms-fao-prepares-anticipatory-actions-with-members-and.md) | +1.1% | -2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-27 | [La Niña to Impact Global Agriculture for 3rd Straight Winter \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39500-la-nina-to-impact-global-agriculture-for-3rd-straight-winter-feed-and-grain.md) | +1.8% | -10.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-10 | [Policy Backgrounder: El Niño Reshapes Global Agricultural Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17397-policy-backgrounder-el-nino-reshapes-global-agricultural-markets.md) | -0.9% | -3.8% |
| SOY | 2023-05-10 | [Argentina's agriculture to recover slowly despite El Niño -grains exchange](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13967-argentina-s-agriculture-to-recover-slowly-despite-el-nino-grains-exchange.md) | -6.0% | -6.3% |
| SOY | 2024-10-24 | [Drought expands across key US agricultural regions \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13146-drought-expands-across-key-us-agricultural-regions-feed-and-grain.md) | -2.1% | -0.7% |
| SOY | 2022-09-27 | [La Niña to Impact Global Agriculture for 3rd Straight Winter \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39500-la-nina-to-impact-global-agriculture-for-3rd-straight-winter-feed-and-grain.md) | -2.6% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- revistaimx.com: https://revistaimx.com/con-menos-granos-y-mas-sequias-el-campo-mexicano-se-prepara-para-enfrentar-los-efectos-de-el-nino/politica

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.