# EU milk production 2026: Commission expects increase, exports of butter and cheese grow

> The European Commission expects EU milk production to rise 1.8% in 2026, after milk deliveries were 3.0% higher year over year from January to August. Despite summer heat and drought, production dipped only briefly as farmers adapted; the additional milk supply went mainly into butter and skimmed milk powder, while butter and cheese exports grew.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T12:17:49.843Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89429-eu-milk-production-2026-commission-expects-increase-exports-of-butter-and
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Higher milk output and product exports indicate ample dairy supply, which could put downward pressure on milk prices. Heat-related feed and water costs may squeeze producer margins but have not caused a substantial production decline.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2025-12-10 | [USDA Lowers 2026 Milk Production, Cheese And Butter Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21493-usda-lowers-2026-milk-production-cheese-and-butter-price-forecasts-cheese.md) | -0.8% | -6.8% |
| MILK | 2021-06-07 | [Cheese and butter production growing - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46573-cheese-and-butter-production-growing-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -0.3% | -3.0% |
| MILK | 2022-05-14 | [USDA Ups 2022 Milk Production, Cheese & Butter Price Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41410-usda-ups-2022-milk-production-cheese-and-butter-price-forecasts.md) | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| MILK | 2025-09-23 | [Dairy Production, Demand Expected To Increase](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22859-dairy-production-demand-expected-to-increase.md) | -0.4% | -3.7% |
| MILK | 2024-05-13 | [Increased cow numbers, milk per cow raise 2024-25 milk production estimates \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30250-increased-cow-numbers-milk-per-cow-raise-2024-25-milk-production-estimates-ag.md) | +0.5% | +5.7% |

## Sources

- topagrar.com: https://www.topagrar.com/markt/news/eu-milcherzeugung-2026-steigt-trotz-hitze-20030963.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.