# El Niño ‘drowns’ forecasts for five of Peru’s main crops through December; is the threat growing?

> Peru’s authorities are revising agroclimatic risk forecasts as an exceptionally strong coastal El Niño brings extreme temperatures, water stress, and rainfall deficits affecting crop flowering. Heavy rain is expected to continue in parts of the coast and western highlands, while possible rainfall deficits in southern and southeastern highlands could reduce water reserves for the 2026–27 crop season.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T12:15:46.672Z
- Category: weather · region Peru · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89416-el-nino-drowns-forecasts-for-five-of-peru-s-main-crops-through-december-is-the
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Heat, water stress, and excessive or deficient rainfall threaten yields in Peru’s affected crops, potentially tightening local agricultural supplies and supporting prices. The article does not identify feed commodities or quantify production losses.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-06-19 | [Five tips for making the most of El Niño and La Niña forecasts \| CRUCIAL](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24122-five-tips-for-making-the-most-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-forecasts-crucial.md) | -3.3% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2025-04-29 | [The end of La Niña: Lessons about Plains wheat drought & why spring weather is bearish for most grain markets - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25030-the-end-of-la-nina-lessons-about-plains-wheat-drought-and-why-spring-weather-is.md) | -3.7% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2026-09-10 | [Midwest Drought Expands: Heat Wave Threatens Crops \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12963-midwest-drought-expands-heat-wave-threatens-crops-feed-and-grain.md) | +4.3% | +1.1% |
| CORN | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2025-03-13 | [U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25497-u-s-forecaster-sees-neutral-weather-conditions-persisting-through-summer.md) | +6.5% | +5.2% |
| SOY | 2025-06-19 | [Five tips for making the most of El Niño and La Niña forecasts \| CRUCIAL](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24122-five-tips-for-making-the-most-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-forecasts-crucial.md) | -4.8% | -4.4% |
| SOY | 2025-04-29 | [The end of La Niña: Lessons about Plains wheat drought & why spring weather is bearish for most grain markets - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25030-the-end-of-la-nina-lessons-about-plains-wheat-drought-and-why-spring-weather-is.md) | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| SOY | 2026-09-10 | [Midwest Drought Expands: Heat Wave Threatens Crops \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12963-midwest-drought-expands-heat-wave-threatens-crops-feed-and-grain.md) | +1.9% | +0.2% |

## Sources

- gestion.pe: https://gestion.pe/economia/el-nino-ahoga-previsiones-sobre-5-principales-cultivos-de-peru-hasta-diciembre-aumenta-amenaza-noticia/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.