# New challenges face efforts to ensure stable nitrogen fertilizer supplies and prices this winter and spring

> China's nitrogen fertilizer industry association said seasonal buying patterns, higher feedstock costs, and steadily rising demand are complicating efforts to maintain supply and stable prices. It forecast spring 2027 agricultural nitrogen demand up 2.5% year over year and nitrogen fertilizer output up 5.9% in 2026, with new urea capacity expected to raise annual capacity to 77.7 million tonnes by year-end.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T12:12:48.591Z
- Category: report · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89394-new-challenges-face-efforts-to-ensure-stable-nitrogen-fertilizer-supplies-and
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Higher coal and gas costs and firmer demand could support nitrogen fertilizer prices, while expanding production capacity may limit upward pressure. The article describes efforts to build seasonal inventories and secure domestic supply.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-09-27 | [Fertilizer Prices, Rates, and Costs for 2023 - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11906-fertilizer-prices-rates-and-costs-for-2023-farmdoc-daily.md) | -5.7% | -9.1% |
| UREA | 2023-05-21 | [Fertilizer Prices Mixed- Urea Climbs, Anhydrous Lower \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5366-fertilizer-prices-mixed-urea-climbs-anhydrous-lower-farm-policy-news-illinois.md) | -14.9% | -20.2% |
| UREA | 2022-06-01 | [Stagnant Retail Fertilizer Prices Hover Near Record Highs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41256-stagnant-retail-fertilizer-prices-hover-near-record-highs.md) | -7.1% | -12.0% |
| UREA | 2023-05-25 | [Fertilizer affordability starts to improve after two turbulent years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4370-fertilizer-affordability-starts-to-improve-after-two-turbulent-years.md) | -21.5% | -17.6% |
| UREA | 2022-09-29 | [Fertilizer Prices Remain “Considerably Higher” Than Last Year, as Hurricane Ian Could Worsen Outlook \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11905-fertilizer-prices-remain-considerably-higher-than-last-year-as-hurricane-ian.md) | -4.2% | -9.1% |

## Sources

- finance.sina.com.cn: https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2026-11-09/doc-iniyazeh3404477.shtml

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.