# Expectations of a Fed rate hike in December rise to 80%: Dollar remains strong

> Stronger-than-expected US employment data and a lower unemployment rate increased market expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise rates at its December meeting. The implied probability rose to 80% before easing to 76.8%, while the dollar index remained near a 1.5-year high.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T09:13:16.647Z
- Category: macro · region United States · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/89203-expectations-of-a-fed-rate-hike-in-december-rise-to-80-dollar-remains-strong
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Higher expected US interest rates can support the dollar, making dollar-priced feed imports more expensive for buyers whose currencies weaken against it. The article reports a changed market expectation, not a confirmed rate decision.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2022-10-31 | [Dollar gains on Fed rate hike expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39325-dollar-gains-on-fed-rate-hike-expectations.md) | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| DXY | 2022-06-20 | [US dollar to remain resilient amid the re-pricing higher in Fed's rate expectations – ING — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41145-us-dollar-to-remain-resilient-amid-the-re-pricing-higher-in-fed-s-rate.md) | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| DXY | 2026-06-24 | [US dollar strengthens to 13-month high on Fed rate hike expectations \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11985-us-dollar-strengthens-to-13-month-high-on-fed-rate-hike-expectations-reuters.md) | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| DXY | 2023-04-17 | [Dollar rebounds on higher expectations for Fed hike in May \| IBTimes UK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36609-dollar-rebounds-on-higher-expectations-for-fed-hike-in-may-ibtimes-uk.md) | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| DXY | 2023-05-23 | [Dollar Strengthens Broadly on Fed Rate Expectations \| The Epoch Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36139-dollar-strengthens-broadly-on-fed-rate-expectations-the-epoch-times.md) | +0.4% | -1.1% |

## Sources

- paratic.com: https://paratic.com/fedin-aralik-faiz-artirimi-beklentisi-yuzde-80e-cikti-dolar-guclu-kaldi/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.