# Will urea prices rise or fall? Here's a reason they may not fall!

> The article says high coal costs and rising rail freight have squeezed urea producers' margins, contributing to industry operating rates below 52% and potentially limiting output. It argues that lower production, export demand, and delayed fertilizer stockpiling could tighten domestic supply through winter, though buyers may resist high prices.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-09T03:12:59.921Z
- Category: logistics · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/88614-will-urea-prices-rise-or-fall-here-s-a-reason-they-may-not-fall
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Higher input and transport costs, combined with restricted operating rates, could reduce available urea supply and support prices. Delayed stockpiling may add to later seasonal supply pressure, although buyer resistance could temper gains.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-06-01 | [The price of phosphate fertilisers continues to rise and everything indicates that there will be an upturn in urea prices – Dezba Inspection](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4338-the-price-of-phosphate-fertilisers-continues-to-rise-and-everything-indicates.md) | -18.3% | -14.1% |
| UREA | 2024-05-01 | [All Eight Major Fertilizer Prices Higher](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31059-all-eight-major-fertilizer-prices-higher.md) | -6.9% | -5.8% |
| UREA | 2026-03-04 | [Closure of the Strait of Hormuz causes urea, diesel prices to spike as planting season begins in Arkansas](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4429-closure-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-causes-urea-diesel-prices-to-spike-as-planting.md) | -0.8% | +7.9% |
| UREA | 2026-01-28 | [Fertiliser prices start to rise amid supply disruption - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21367-fertiliser-prices-start-to-rise-amid-supply-disruption-farmers-weekly.md) | +10.6% | +12.6% |
| UREA | 2023-08-10 | [Natural gas prices are spiking again. Here’s why \| CNN Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34748-natural-gas-prices-are-spiking-again-here-s-why-cnn-business.md) | -0.4% | +6.8% |

## Sources

- fxbwd.com: https://www.fxbwd.com/148061.html

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.