# Export outlook for Argentine wheat amid Brazil's historic crop decline - Cadena de Valor

> Argentina shipped nearly 2 million tonnes of wheat in September and October of the 2025/26 season, a record for those months. Brazil's 2026/27 wheat crop is forecast at 5.73 million tonnes, down 27.2% year over year, with rain also affecting the quality of its winter wheat.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-09T01:35:50.779Z
- Category: weather · region South America · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/88454-export-outlook-for-argentine-wheat-amid-brazil-s-historic-crop-decline-cadena
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Brazilian crop could increase demand for Argentine wheat exports and tighten regional supplies, supporting wheat prices. Argentina's record shipments provide additional export availability that could partly offset the regional shortfall.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-14 | [Argentina exchange cuts wheat outlook again, rains spell hope for soy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13999-argentina-exchange-cuts-wheat-outlook-again-rains-spell-hope-for-soy.md) | +0.8% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-02-26 | [Wheat export declared amid looming weather risk to crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20586-wheat-export-declared-amid-looming-weather-risk-to-crop.md) | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-16 | [Internal woes blunt Argentina’s wheat export clout amid tight global supplies - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14031-internal-woes-blunt-argentina-s-wheat-export-clout-amid-tight-global-supplies.md) | -2.3% | -13.8% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-21 | [Argentine government, farm exporters seek relief from historic drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13987-argentine-government-farm-exporters-seek-relief-from-historic-drought.md) | -3.1% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-29 | [With world short of wheat, Argentina farmers worry about crop \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14026-with-world-short-of-wheat-argentina-farmers-worry-about-crop-reuters.md) | -8.7% | -16.2% |

## Sources

- cadenadevalor.com.ar: https://cadenadevalor.com.ar/agricultura/perspectivas-de-exportacion-para-el-trigo-argentino-ante-la-caida-historica-de-la-cosecha-en-brasil/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.