# S&P Global Raises Brent Oil Forecast to $105 as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten 2027 Supply

> S&P Global Ratings raised its Brent price assumption for the remainder of 2026 to $105 a barrel from $95, and its 2027 estimate to $85 from $80. It also increased its WTI assumptions and said Middle Eastern export restrictions, conflict uncertainty and a roughly 589-million-barrel drawdown in global crude and petroleum-product inventories were tightening the market.

- Date: 2026-11-08 · published 2026-11-08T21:07:48.019Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Middle East · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/87973-s-and-p-global-raises-brent-oil-forecast-to-105-as-hormuz-disruptions-threaten
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Continued disruption to Middle Eastern exports and depleted inventories leave less supply available to absorb further shocks, supporting crude prices and raising fuel and transport costs for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2026-03-02 | [Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten Global Supply, Analysts Warn - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8003-oil-prices-surge-as-hormuz-disruptions-threaten-global-supply-analysts-warn.md) | +31.0% | +62.6% |
| BRENT | 2026-03-12 | [Brent Oil Tops $100 as Persian Gulf Disruption Hits Global Supply - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8158-brent-oil-tops-100-as-persian-gulf-disruption-hits-global-supply-bloomberg.md) | +23.1% | +16.8% |
| BRENT | 2026-10-02 | [Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Sustain Supply-Disruption Fears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9320-oil-rises-as-mideast-tensions-sustain-supply-disruption-fears.md) | +7.5% | +9.7% |
| BRENT | 2026-04-28 | [Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Tensions Push WTI Near $100 and Brent Above $111, Threatening Global Energy Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19906-oil-prices-surge-as-hormuz-tensions-push-wti-near-100-and-brent-above-111.md) | +4.8% | -8.9% |
| BRENT | 2026-04-01 | [How the Iran War Is Disrupting Global Oil and Gas Supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20364-how-the-iran-war-is-disrupting-global-oil-and-gas-supply.md) | -12.2% | -1.1% |
| WTI | 2026-03-02 | [Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten Global Supply, Analysts Warn - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8003-oil-prices-surge-as-hormuz-disruptions-threaten-global-supply-analysts-warn.md) | +35.6% | +50.4% |
| WTI | 2026-03-12 | [Brent Oil Tops $100 as Persian Gulf Disruption Hits Global Supply - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8158-brent-oil-tops-100-as-persian-gulf-disruption-hits-global-supply-bloomberg.md) | +10.6% | +13.9% |
| WTI | 2026-10-02 | [Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Sustain Supply-Disruption Fears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9320-oil-rises-as-mideast-tensions-sustain-supply-disruption-fears.md) | -1.5% | +5.6% |

## Sources

- cedarglobalmarkets.com: https://cedarglobalmarkets.com/2026/11/08/sp-global-raises-brent-oil-forecast-to-105-as-hormuz-disruptions-threaten-2027-supply/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.