# The Incredible Reality of Grain Exports: Shipments in the First Months of the 2026/27 Season Fell by More Than Half Compared with Long-Term Averages

> Russian grain exports in the first months of the 2026/27 season fell to less than half their long-term average after attacks damaged terminals in the Azov-Black Sea basin and disrupted shipments through Novorossiysk and the Azov-Don Canal. Alternative routes have gained volume, but are not expected to make up for the lost capacity; full-season grain exports could fall below 40 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-08T19:37:26.074Z
- Category: logistics · region Russia · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/87942-the-incredible-reality-of-grain-exports-shipments-in-the-first-months-of-the
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced export capacity could leave substantial grain inside Russia, adding to domestic oversupply and pressure on already weak local prices. Lower Russian export availability could also lend support to international grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-15 | [Grain transshipment at Russian ports fell by more than 50% in 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14208-grain-transshipment-at-russian-ports-fell-by-more-than-50-in-2025.md) | -3.9% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-06-11 | [Ukraine: in the first week of June, the seaports halved grain shipment volumes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58443-ukraine-in-the-first-week-of-june-the-seaports-halved-grain-shipment-volumes.md) | -4.7% | -8.3% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-20 | [The Ukrainian supply chain issue will remain the main upside risk to food inflation in the coming months even with significant increase in shipments from Danube ports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40848-the-ukrainian-supply-chain-issue-will-remain-the-main-upside-risk-to-food.md) | -2.9% | -14.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-16 | [Ukraine: in the second week of March, the seaports halved grains shipments](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53985-ukraine-in-the-second-week-of-march-the-seaports-halved-grains-shipments.md) | -3.2% | -5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-06 | [Russia resorts to ship-to-ship transfer to deal with increased grain export — RealnoeVremya.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63886-russia-resorts-to-ship-to-ship-transfer-to-deal-with-increased-grain-export.md) | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| CORN | 2019-06-11 | [Ukraine: in the first week of June, the seaports halved grain shipment volumes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58443-ukraine-in-the-first-week-of-june-the-seaports-halved-grain-shipment-volumes.md) | +6.2% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2022-06-20 | [The Ukrainian supply chain issue will remain the main upside risk to food inflation in the coming months even with significant increase in shipments from Danube ports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40848-the-ukrainian-supply-chain-issue-will-remain-the-main-upside-risk-to-food.md) | -3.7% | -11.8% |
| CORN | 2020-03-16 | [Ukraine: in the second week of March, the seaports halved grains shipments](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53985-ukraine-in-the-second-week-of-march-the-seaports-halved-grains-shipments.md) | -4.7% | -5.7% |

## Sources

- agroinvestor.ru: https://www.agroinvestor.ru/markets/article/46790-neveroyatnaya-realnost-zernovogo-eksporta-obemy-vyvoza-za-pervye-mesyatsy-sezona-2026-27-upali-bolee/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.