# Ukraine's grain exports down 29 percent as Black Sea and Hormuz crises raise Middle East food fears

> Ukraine’s grain exports through October 30 were 29% below the same point last season, while attacks on commercial and other vessels in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov rose to 317 between May and October, from 74 in the previous six months. More than 9 million tonnes may face storage constraints, and disruption around the Strait of Hormuz is also affecting fuel and fertilizer supplies, raising food-security concerns in the Middle East and beyond.

- Date: 2026-11-08 · published 2026-11-08T18:12:36.240Z
- Category: logistics · region Black Sea and Middle East · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/87790-ukraine-s-grain-exports-down-29-percent-as-black-sea-and-hormuz-crises-raise
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced Ukrainian export flows and shipping risk can tighten wheat availability for importers and support prices, although excess grain backed up in Ukraine may weigh on local prices. Higher fuel and fertilizer costs could also raise production and transport costs.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-04-28 | [Ukraine's Apr 18-24 sea port grain exports down 36% wk/wk — Latifundist.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53494-ukraine-s-apr-18-24-sea-port-grain-exports-down-36-wk-wk-latifundist-com.md) | +2.8% | +2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-22 | [Russian grain exports collapse fourfold as Black Sea ports stall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14076-russian-grain-exports-collapse-fourfold-as-black-sea-ports-stall.md) | -0.7% | — |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-26 | [Ports Under Fire as Russia’s Drone and Missile Strikes Squeeze Ukraine’s Grain Exports – Ship Universe](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14156-ports-under-fire-as-russia-s-drone-and-missile-strikes-squeeze-ukraine-s-grain.md) | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-28 | [Ukraine: suspension of shipping to Black Sea ports and the associated risks \| OSW Centre for Eastern Studies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14099-ukraine-suspension-of-shipping-to-black-sea-ports-and-the-associated-risks-osw.md) | -0.3% | +4.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-18 | [Ukraine's grain exports by means of Romania's Constanta down by half in Jan-August](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14272-ukraine-s-grain-exports-by-means-of-romania-s-constanta-down-by-half-in-jan.md) | +11.0% | +5.4% |

## Sources

- agronewstoday.com: https://agronewstoday.com/article/black-sea-hormuz-disruption-middle-east-food-security-wfp

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.