# El Niño calls for extra attention to management and input use in the 2026/2027 crop season

> Brazil’s INMET forecast puts the probability of very strong El Niño conditions by December at 95%, with the influence expected to continue into early 2027. The outlook points to lower rainfall and higher temperatures in parts of the North, Northeast, and Center-West, while the South could see above-average rain; agronomists recommend region-specific management, staggered planting, and soil cover.

- Date: 2026-11-08 · published 2026-11-08T15:12:46.947Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/87689-el-nino-calls-for-extra-attention-to-management-and-input-use-in-the-2026-2027
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

The contrasting rainfall risks could affect crop establishment, fieldwork, and yields, with potential support for prices if dry or excessively wet conditions reduce output. No specific crop loss is established yet, so the price implications remain uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | +2.0% | +9.2% |
| SOY | 2023-08-31 | [With El Niño, farmers must pay attention to management at the beginning of the soybean harvest 23/24 - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13633-with-el-nino-farmers-must-pay-attention-to-management-at-the-beginning-of-the.md) | -2.6% | -5.8% |
| SOY | 2026-02-01 | [El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season.md) | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| SOY | 2026-10-14 | [El Niño puts Panama Canal capacity and grain shipments at risk in 2027 \| World Ports Organization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16760-el-nino-puts-panama-canal-capacity-and-grain-shipments-at-risk-in-2027-world.md) | -2.3% | — |
| SOY | 2019-10-10 | [Crop Quality in 2019: Another Unusual Year \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56417-crop-quality-in-2019-another-unusual-year-integrated-crop-management.md) | +0.5% | -0.9% |
| CORN | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | +3.5% | -3.5% |
| CORN | 2021-10-25 | [November and Winter Weather Outlooks for 2021 \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44468-november-and-winter-weather-outlooks-for-2021-integrated-crop-management.md) | +3.5% | +9.0% |
| CORN | 2026-02-01 | [El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season.md) | +0.2% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- conexaosafra.com: https://conexaosafra.com/previsao-tempo/el-nino-exige-atencao-redobrada-ao-manejo-e-ao-uso-de-insumos-na-safra-2026-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.