# Wheat in Mexico: Production Rebounds 28.6%, but Profitability Remains at Risk

> Mexico’s agricultural market consultancy GCMA forecasts 2026 wheat production at 2.22 million tonnes, up 28.6% from 1.72 million tonnes in 2025. The projected crop remains well below earlier production levels, while weak profitability, limited liquidity, and uncertainty over marketing continue to threaten the sector’s recovery.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-08T03:16:28.959Z
- Category: report · region Mexico · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/86988-wheat-in-mexico-production-rebounds-28-6-but-profitability-remains-at-risk
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

The expected production rebound could modestly improve domestic availability and reduce import needs, a bearish factor for wheat prices in Mexico, although output remains far below historical levels.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-16 | [Rebound in grain production lifts wheat forecast to 26.7Mt: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52584-rebound-in-grain-production-lifts-wheat-forecast-to-26-7mt-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.5% | -4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2021-12-21 | [Argentine grain production rebounds \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14067-argentine-grain-production-rebounds-the-land-nsw.md) | +0.1% | +7.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-24 | [Australia Wheat Industry Sees Record Production Boom](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26461-australia-wheat-industry-sees-record-production-boom.md) | +3.9% | +4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-05 | [Wheat production to rise if break arrives \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60037-wheat-production-to-rise-if-break-arrives-farm-online-act.md) | -1.0% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-03 | [Australia raises wheat production forecast by 2.7 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28282-australia-raises-wheat-production-forecast-by-2-7-mln-tons.md) | +1.6% | +11.6% |

## Sources

- debate.com.mx: https://www.debate.com.mx/agro/trigo-en-mexico-produccion-repunta-28.6-pero-la-rentabilidad-sigue-en-riesgo-20261106-0217.html

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.