# World Bank expects fertilizer prices to rise 14% in 2026, with urea reaching $510 per tonne

> The World Bank forecasts average fertilizer prices to increase 14% in 2026, with urea averaging $510 per tonne, DAP $735 and potash $383. It attributes the outlook to trade disruptions, export restrictions, higher production costs, the Middle East conflict, Black Sea disruptions, biofuel demand and El Niño-related risks.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-08T03:12:40.665Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/86967-world-bank-expects-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-14-in-2026-with-urea-reaching-510
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Higher fertilizer prices raise crop production costs and can constrain application, potentially tightening future grain and oilseed supplies and supporting their prices. The projected increase in urea and DAP is particularly relevant to buyers exposed to nitrogen and phosphate costs.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-10-28 | [WORLD BANK SAYS FERTILIZER PRICES SET TO RISE 14% IN 2026 DUE TO SURGE IN UREA PRICES, RETURNING TO 2025 LEVELS IN 2027 - CGTN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/297-world-bank-says-fertilizer-prices-set-to-rise-14-in-2026-due-to-surge-in-urea.md) | -1.3% | — |
| UREA | 2025-08-20 | [World Bank Projects Higher Fertilizer Prices Into 2026 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23634-world-bank-projects-higher-fertilizer-prices-into-2026.md) | -0.8% | -8.5% |
| UREA | 2025-05-14 | [Global fertilizer prices climb 11% in early 2025: World Bank  ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25007-global-fertilizer-prices-climb-11-in-early-2025-world-bank.md) | -2.9% | -25.4% |
| UREA | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices expected to rise 21% in 2025 - Ecofin Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6229-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-rise-21-in-2025-ecofin-agency.md) | -2.3% | -10.7% |
| UREA | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +3.0% | +21.5% |
| DAP | 2025-08-20 | [World Bank Projects Higher Fertilizer Prices Into 2026 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23634-world-bank-projects-higher-fertilizer-prices-into-2026.md) | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| DAP | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices expected to rise 21% in 2025 - Ecofin Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6229-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-rise-21-in-2025-ecofin-agency.md) | +0.2% | -11.9% |
| DAP | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +2.8% | +6.8% |

## Sources

- jardineriaon.com: https://www.jardineriaon.com/el-banco-mundial-preve-que-los-fertilizantes-suban-un-14-en-2026-y-que-la-urea-llegue-a-510-dolares-por-tonelada.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.