# Nat-Gas Prices Supported by Colder US Weather

> March Nymex natural gas closed up 2.18% and reached a 2.5-week high as forecasts shifted colder for much of the continental US for February 16-20. Inventories as of January 31 were 4.4% below the five-year average, the lowest in over two years. Lower-48 demand rose 28.1% year over year.

- Date: 2025-02-11 · published 2025-02-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/8696-nat-gas-prices-supported-by-colder-us-weather
- Commodities: [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Colder forecasts and tight inventories support heating demand and keep gas prices firm, raising energy costs for feed processors.

## Read by commodity

- NATGAS: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2025-02-19 | 5 | +54.4% | 3.8 | Colder forecasts for Feb 16-20 and inventories 4.4% below average supported prices at the start of the move, though it is a smaller 2% gain. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2024-11-11 | [Nat-Gas Prices Surge on Lower US Gas Output and Colder US Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7027-nat-gas-prices-surge-on-lower-us-gas-output-and-colder-us-weather.md) | +20.1% | +73.4% |
| NATGAS | 2018-11-06 | [Natural gas prices surge on surprise forecast for cold US weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6487-natural-gas-prices-surge-on-surprise-forecast-for-cold-us-weather.md) | +9.1% | +24.8% |
| NATGAS | 2026-05-28 | [Nat-Gas Prices Surge as Storage Tightens and US Weather Turns Hotter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19436-nat-gas-prices-surge-as-storage-tightens-and-us-weather-turns-hotter.md) | +0.2% | +6.2% |
| NATGAS | 2021-05-17 | [Natural Gas Prices Jump On Warmer Weather \| OilPrice.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47270-natural-gas-prices-jump-on-warmer-weather-oilprice-com.md) | -2.8% | +13.6% |
| NATGAS | 2021-02-01 | [Wintry Weather Lifts Natural-Gas Prices  - WSJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48840-wintry-weather-lifts-natural-gas-prices-wsj.md) | +20.6% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- barchart.com: https://www.barchart.com/story/news/30881531/nat-gas-prices-supported-by-colder-us-weather

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.