# Thai inflation expected to remain near 4% through first quarter of 2027 - Pattaya Mail

> Thailand's central bank expects headline inflation to stay near 4% through the fourth quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of 2027, driven mainly by higher energy and fresh-food prices, before easing later in 2027. It kept the policy rate unchanged, while noting uncertainty over the Middle East conflict, energy-price support and the pass-through of business costs; the article also reports that crude prices fell amid hopes for an end to the Iran conflict.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-08T03:10:44.288Z
- Category: macro · region Thailand · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/86936-thai-inflation-expected-to-remain-near-4-through-first-quarter-of-2027-pattaya
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Elevated energy costs can raise production and transport expenses, while the reported crude-price decline could ease those pressures. The story provides no specific feed-commodity supply or demand change.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2025-04-04 | [Oil falls to near 4-year low amid recession fears, OPEC+ production hikes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7295-oil-falls-to-near-4-year-low-amid-recession-fears-opec-production-hikes.md) | -9.8% | -13.9% |
| BRENT | 2019-09-19 | [Ringgit at 4.15 to US dollar at end of 2019, says MIDF Research \| Malay Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57344-ringgit-at-4-15-to-us-dollar-at-end-of-2019-says-midf-research-malay-mail.md) | -2.4% | -7.2% |
| BRENT | 2020-03-18 | [Oil falls 24% in 3rd worst day on record, sinks to more than 18-year low](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7659-oil-falls-24-in-3rd-worst-day-on-record-sinks-to-more-than-18-year-low.md) | -9.0% | -17.4% |
| BRENT | 2019-07-01 | [Oil Plunges in Worst Reaction to OPEC Since 2014 on Demand Woes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58299-oil-plunges-in-worst-reaction-to-opec-since-2014-on-demand-woes-bloomberg.md) | -4.2% | -6.1% |
| BRENT | 2023-03-14 | [Oil falls to three-month low on inflation worries, U.S. bank shutdowns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37044-oil-falls-to-three-month-low-on-inflation-worries-u-s-bank-shutdowns.md) | -8.9% | +7.8% |
| WTI | 2022-06-13 | [ASX down nearly 4 per cent after Wall Street sell-off on inflation fears, S&P 500 falls into bear market - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41207-asx-down-nearly-4-per-cent-after-wall-street-sell-off-on-inflation-fears-s-and.md) | -9.2% | -19.6% |
| WTI | 2025-08-19 | [Canada’s annual inflation rate eases to 1.7 per cent in July, core measures stay firm - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23560-canada-s-annual-inflation-rate-eases-to-1-7-per-cent-in-july-core-measures-stay.md) | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| WTI | 2023-07-18 | [Canada's inflation falls to 27-month low but underlying pressures persist \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35278-canada-s-inflation-falls-to-27-month-low-but-underlying-pressures-persist.md) | +6.2% | +11.2% |

## Sources

- pattayamail.com: https://www.pattayamail.com/latestnews/news/thai-inflation-expected-to-remain-near-4-through-first-quarter-of-2027-571204

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.