# Nat-Gas Prices Fall on Cooler Weather and Ample Supplies

> August Nymex natural gas closed down 2.4% on July 10, 2026, to a 1.5-month low. Cooler US forecasts, a storage level 6.6% above the five-year average, and a higher EIA production forecast of 111.2 bcf/day all weighed on prices. Expectations of a strong El Niño bringing a warm northern winter added to the bearish outlook, though Qatar's damaged Ras Laffan LNG capacity offers some medium-term support.

- Date: 2026-07-10 · published 2026-07-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/8664-nat-gas-prices-fall-on-cooler-weather-and-ample-supplies
- Commodities: [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Cooler weather cuts air-conditioning-driven power demand, and rising output keeps supply ample. The El Niño outlook points to lower winter heating demand, which pressures prices.

## Read by commodity

- NATGAS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2025-06-24 | [Nat-Gas Prices Fall on Forecasts for Cooler US Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24407-nat-gas-prices-fall-on-forecasts-for-cooler-us-weather.md) | -6.7% | -5.2% |
| NATGAS | 2024-10-14 | [Nat-Gas Prices Tumble as US Weather Forecasts Warm](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10301-nat-gas-prices-tumble-as-us-weather-forecasts-warm.md) | -17.8% | -27.1% |
| NATGAS | 2019-11-30 | [Natural Gas Prices Crash On Warm Weather Warnings \| OilPrice.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56244-natural-gas-prices-crash-on-warm-weather-warnings-oilprice-com.md) | -2.0% | -10.4% |
| NATGAS | 2023-11-06 | [Strong Supplies, Mild Weather Push Global Natural Gas Prices Lower – LNG Recap](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6389-strong-supplies-mild-weather-push-global-natural-gas-prices-lower-lng-recap.md) | -11.7% | -16.2% |
| NATGAS | 2024-10-16 | [Waning Weather Support Sends Natural Gas Futures Tumbling; Cash Prices Slip with Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10304-waning-weather-support-sends-natural-gas-futures-tumbling-cash-prices-slip-with.md) | -17.1% | -2.9% |

## Sources

- barchart.com: https://www.barchart.com/story/news/3229591/nat-gas-prices-fall-on-cooler-weather-and-ample-supplies

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.