# Russia’s Wheat Harvest: New Horizons and Unexpected Forecasts

> SovEcon raised its forecast for Russia's 2026 wheat harvest by 0.8 million tonnes to 88.6 million, citing strong yields in Siberia and improved expectations in the Volga and Ural regions. It also raised barley and corn forecasts by 0.2 million tonnes each, to 19.3 million and 12.7 million tonnes, respectively, bringing its total grain estimate to 135.3 million tonnes; weaker southern-region harvests remain a concern for exports.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-07T19:37:52.473Z
- Category: report · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/86475-russia-s-wheat-harvest-new-horizons-and-unexpected-forecasts
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

The larger wheat and grain crop estimate points to more potential Russian supply, weighing on prices, although lower yields in the southern export regions could constrain export availability and partly offset the bearish effect.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [Australia’s wheat harvest forecast raised to near-record level](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22354-australia-s-wheat-harvest-forecast-raised-to-near-record-level.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-19 | [Strategy Grains raises forecasts for EU wheat harvests](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57026-strategy-grains-raises-forecasts-for-eu-wheat-harvests.md) | +2.2% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-22 | [Accelerating harvesting in the United States and raising harvest forecasts for Russia are lowering wheat prices 22.06.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12702-accelerating-harvesting-in-the-united-states-and-raising-harvest-forecasts-for.md) | +1.8% | -4.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-03 | [Australia increases wheat harvest forecast to 34.1 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25546-australia-increases-wheat-harvest-forecast-to-34-1-mln-tons.md) | -3.4% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-19 | [Increasing forecasts of wheat harvest and exports from Canada lowers quotations in the US](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32746-increasing-forecasts-of-wheat-harvest-and-exports-from-canada-lowers-quotations.md) | +0.4% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2025-03-28 | [EU expects growth in wheat and rapeseed harvests](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25501-eu-expects-growth-in-wheat-and-rapeseed-harvests.md) | +0.5% | +5.5% |
| CORN | 2021-11-09 | [France raises crop forecasts for wheat, maize and](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43990-france-raises-crop-forecasts-for-wheat-maize-and.md) | +1.2% | +5.2% |
| CORN | 2025-05-15 | [2025 GEOGLAM Crop Outlook: What to Expect for Wheat, Maize, and Soybeans — NASA Harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24596-2025-geoglam-crop-outlook-what-to-expect-for-wheat-maize-and-soybeans-nasa.md) | +4.4% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- yamal-news.ru: https://yamal-news.ru/society/2026/11/07/105022.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.