# Market Talk | Energy Markets Stabilize as Ceasefire Holds and Risk Premiums Fade

> Energy markets were choppy but quiet on June 25 as the Israel-Iran ceasefire held and the crude risk premium faded. The API reported a gasoline build and diesel and crude draws, and the US president floated a sanctions change on Chinese purchases of Iranian oil.

- Date: 2025-06-25 · published 2025-06-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Middle East · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/8641-market-talk-energy-markets-stabilize-as-ceasefire-holds-and-risk-premiums-fade
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [ULSD / Diesel](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DIESEL.md)

## Why it matters

Fading geopolitical risk premium lowers crude and diesel costs, while Chinese oil-sanction talk adds trade uncertainty that could affect energy demand and freight.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼
- DIESEL: neutral

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2025-06-26 | 5 | -12.7% | -2.9 | Risk premium continued to fade as the ceasefire held on June 25, sustaining the removal of the geopolitical premium in crude. |
| BRENT | 2025-06-26 | 5 | -14.7% | -3.6 | The risk premium continued to fade as the ceasefire held, with possible sanctions relief on Chinese purchases of Iranian oil weighing on prices. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2026-04-08 | [Dollar falls as US-Iran ceasefire sparks relief rally for risk assets \| MarketScreener](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11160-dollar-falls-as-us-iran-ceasefire-sparks-relief-rally-for-risk-assets.md) | -18.9% | -8.3% |
| WTI | 2025-06-20 | [Diesel and Gas. The Energy Report 06/20/2025 - Market InsightsMarket Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8644-diesel-and-gas-the-energy-report-06-20-2025-market-insightsmarket-insights.md) | -12.7% | -9.6% |
| WTI | 2026-05-05 | [Oil prices fall 4% as fragile US-Iran ceasefire holds, two ships pass through Strait of Hormuz \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9581-oil-prices-fall-4-as-fragile-us-iran-ceasefire-holds-two-ships-pass-through.md) | -7.6% | -11.4% |
| WTI | 2025-06-23 | [Oil prices drop 6% as Israel-Iran ceasefire reduces Middle East supply risk \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8643-oil-prices-drop-6-as-israel-iran-ceasefire-reduces-middle-east-supply-risk.md) | -12.2% | -9.7% |
| WTI | 2024-08-01 | [Oil prices fall 2% to six-week low on ceasefire talks, demand concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29442-oil-prices-fall-2-to-six-week-low-on-ceasefire-talks-demand-concerns.md) | -3.4% | -4.7% |
| BRENT | 2026-04-08 | [Dollar falls as US-Iran ceasefire sparks relief rally for risk assets \| MarketScreener](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11160-dollar-falls-as-us-iran-ceasefire-sparks-relief-rally-for-risk-assets.md) | -13.7% | -8.7% |
| BRENT | 2025-06-20 | [Diesel and Gas. The Energy Report 06/20/2025 - Market InsightsMarket Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8644-diesel-and-gas-the-energy-report-06-20-2025-market-insightsmarket-insights.md) | -13.2% | -10.3% |
| BRENT | 2026-05-05 | [Oil prices fall 4% as fragile US-Iran ceasefire holds, two ships pass through Strait of Hormuz \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9581-oil-prices-fall-4-as-fragile-us-iran-ceasefire-holds-two-ships-pass-through.md) | -9.6% | -16.4% |

## Sources

- tacenergy.com: https://www.tacenergy.com/news-and-views/market-talk/energy-markets-stabilize-as-ceasefire-holds-and-risk-premiums-fade

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.