# El Niño on the table: Extreme weather expected to affect food prices

> Brazil’s meteorological institute expects a very strong El Niño from October through December, potentially lasting into early 2027, with above-average rain in the South and hotter, drier conditions in the center-north. The article describes risks including delayed fieldwork and crop damage, while noting that short-cycle vegetables such as lettuce, tomatoes and carrots may be affected first.

- Date: 2026-11-07 · published 2026-11-07T18:12:03.925Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/86301-el-nino-on-the-table-extreme-weather-expected-to-affect-food-prices
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Regional weather stress could reduce yields or delay harvests, tightening supplies and raising prices for affected crops; the article does not identify a specific feed-grain supply loss.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2021-07-20 | [Adverse weather? Blame the El Niño cycle](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45917-adverse-weather-blame-the-el-nino-cycle.md) | -1.1% | -3.6% |
| SOY | 2024-02-19 | [The El Niño weather pattern shapes 2024 commodity price forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31589-the-el-nino-weather-pattern-shapes-2024-commodity-price-forecast.md) | -3.1% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -2.0% | -2.1% |
| SOY | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | +2.0% | +9.2% |
| SOY | 2023-05-05 | [What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35868-what-an-el-nino-could-mean-for-food-prices-epic.md) | -0.4% | -6.6% |
| CORN | 2023-09-05 | [El Niño related weather extremes further worsen food insecurity in conflict-affected countries - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33999-el-nino-related-weather-extremes-further-worsen-food-insecurity-in-conflict.md) | +0.9% | -5.3% |
| CORN | 2021-07-20 | [Adverse weather? Blame the El Niño cycle](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45917-adverse-weather-blame-the-el-nino-cycle.md) | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2024-02-19 | [The El Niño weather pattern shapes 2024 commodity price forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31589-the-el-nino-weather-pattern-shapes-2024-commodity-price-forecast.md) | -0.3% | +7.1% |

## Sources

- souagro.net: https://souagro.net/noticia/2026/11/el-nino-no-prato-clima-extremo-deve-mexer-no-preco-da-feira-ate-o-verao/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.