# El Niño is expected to affect crops and be the ‘most intense in recent history,’ meteorologist says

> A Cemaden meteorologist said El Niño could intensify in November and become the strongest since 1950, with effects potentially lasting through 2027. Brazil is already seeing above-average rain in parts of the South and Southeast, while drought is forecast for the Amazon, raising concerns about crops and river transport.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-07T12:12:27.259Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/85931-el-nino-is-expected-to-affect-crops-and-be-the-most-intense-in-recent-history
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Disrupted rainfall could reduce crop yields in dry areas and delay the movement of agricultural products on Amazon rivers, while excessive rain may also hinder fieldwork. The uneven risks could support crop prices if production or logistics are affected.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2023-07-24 | [The Midwest is Set to Bake Under High Heat, Ag Meteorologists Now Worry About Severe Crop Damage - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13264-the-midwest-is-set-to-bake-under-high-heat-ag-meteorologists-now-worry-about.md) | -0.9% | -9.2% |
| SOY | 2026-10-02 | [Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S. - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12955-record-el-nino-behind-historic-rains-stalling-harvest-across-the-u-s-agweb.md) | +0.3% | -5.0% |
| SOY | 2018-02-26 | ['Not a Lot of Room for Improvement' in Argentina's Conditions, Meteorologist Says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66422-not-a-lot-of-room-for-improvement-in-argentina-s-conditions-meteorologist-says.md) | +2.4% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2021-09-09 | [La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44986-la-nina-development-has-potential-to-affect-crops-in-us-south-america.md) | +1.9% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2024-03-27 | [Excessive rain and dry periods affect the soybean harvest in the South and Central-West - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13583-excessive-rain-and-dry-periods-affect-the-soybean-harvest-in-the-south-and.md) | -1.4% | -2.8% |
| CORN | 2023-07-24 | [The Midwest is Set to Bake Under High Heat, Ag Meteorologists Now Worry About Severe Crop Damage - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13264-the-midwest-is-set-to-bake-under-high-heat-ag-meteorologists-now-worry-about.md) | +9.3% | -4.1% |
| CORN | 2018-06-28 | [San Antonio is on pace to record one of the hottest Junes in history](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64467-san-antonio-is-on-pace-to-record-one-of-the-hottest-junes-in-history.md) | -1.1% | -2.3% |
| CORN | 2026-05-11 | [The second corn crop 2025/26 will have an increase in area, but production is expected to fall by almost 10% in Brazil.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13437-the-second-corn-crop-2025-26-will-have-an-increase-in-area-but-production-is.md) | +1.4% | -5.6% |

## Sources

- noticias.r7.com: https://noticias.r7.com/agronegocios/el-nino-deve-afetar-safra-e-ser-o-mais-intenso-da-historia-recente-afirma-meteorologista-06112026/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.