# Brazilian Nitrogen Fertilizer Imports Lag 25% in 2026, Demand Expected to Rebound in 2027

> Brazil’s nitrogen fertilizer imports, including urea and ammonium sulfate, are about 25% behind last year’s pace and are not expected to catch up by year-end, according to Rabobank. The shortfall could constrain input availability for second-crop corn and sugarcane renewal, while Rabobank forecasts total fertilizer deliveries rising about 5% in 2027 to 46.64 million tons as demand and soil-nutrient replenishment improve.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-07T12:11:46.476Z
- Category: trade · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/85925-brazilian-nitrogen-fertilizer-imports-lag-25-in-2026-demand-expected-to-rebound
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Slower imports and higher production costs linked to European natural gas prices may tighten Brazilian nitrogen fertilizer availability and support prices. A projected demand recovery in 2027 could add to import requirements and upward price pressure.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- NATGAS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-10-25 | [U.S. nitrogen exports jump as Europe scrambles for fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10124-u-s-nitrogen-exports-jump-as-europe-scrambles-for-fertilizer.md) | -10.5% | -11.8% |
| UREA | 2025-08-27 | [Brazil fertilizer imports reach record high in July amid global trade tensions — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23641-brazil-fertilizer-imports-reach-record-high-in-july-amid-global-trade-tensions.md) | -7.0% | -8.8% |
| UREA | 2025-06-22 | [China’s Fertilizer Export Landscape (Jan–May 2025) - China Informatics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24148-china-s-fertilizer-export-landscape-jan-may-2025-china-informatics.md) | +1.4% | +12.4% |
| UREA | 2025-02-05 | [Indian Tender Prices Higher than Expected and Accepted Volumes Lower than Expected - Genesis Fertilizers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4644-indian-tender-prices-higher-than-expected-and-accepted-volumes-lower-than.md) | +2.4% | -1.5% |
| UREA | 2026-04-20 | [In Q1 2026, both import and export volumes and prices of chemical fertilizers rose; summary of import and export policies - ChemNet](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19639-in-q1-2026-both-import-and-export-volumes-and-prices-of-chemical-fertilizers.md) | -1.4% | -16.5% |
| NATGAS | 2016-12-21 | [Cold snap drives China LNG imports to record in November \| Business News - The Indian Express](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73642-cold-snap-drives-china-lng-imports-to-record-in-november-business-news-the.md) | +12.2% | +2.0% |
| NATGAS | 2022-02-01 | [Gas gap in Europe drives U.S. LNG exports to record high](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43318-gas-gap-in-europe-drives-u-s-lng-exports-to-record-high.md) | -16.7% | -14.2% |
| NATGAS | 2018-11-05 | [UAN prices continue to surge: Part 2 \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62007-uan-prices-continue-to-surge-part-2-world-fertilizer.md) | +14.0% | +33.5% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLfNEW7fZgNNNwVC1nVGwqUo

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.