# AUD/USD Forecast: Aussie Sinks as Fed Hike Bets Revive

> The Australian dollar fell about 2.46% against the US dollar in the week to November 6, trading near 0.6858 despite the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its cash rate to 4.85%. A stronger-than-expected US payrolls report revived expectations of Fed rate hikes, while the RBA’s softer guidance weighed on the Aussie.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-07T12:09:44.873Z
- Category: macro · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/85897-aud-usd-forecast-aussie-sinks-as-fed-hike-bets-revive
- Commodities: [Australian Dollar (USD per AUD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/AUDUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A stronger US dollar and reduced expectations for further RBA tightening put downward pressure on AUD/USD. That currency move can make imported feed and farm inputs more expensive for Australian buyers.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- AUDUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2026-09-30 | [Australian Dollar reverses post-PCE rebound as Fed hike bets shift](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17717-australian-dollar-reverses-post-pce-rebound-as-fed-hike-bets-shift.md) | -0.1% | +0.7% |
| DXY | 2026-08-28 | [Brazilian Real Weakens as Fed Hike Bets Rise](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18106-brazilian-real-weakens-as-fed-hike-bets-rise.md) | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| DXY | 2018-03-21 | [Fed hikes rates and raises GDP forecast again](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65902-fed-hikes-rates-and-raises-gdp-forecast-again.md) | -0.8% | -1.3% |
| DXY | 2026-09-24 | [Japanese Yen struggles as Fed rate hike bets drive US yields higher](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17708-japanese-yen-struggles-as-fed-rate-hike-bets-drive-us-yields-higher.md) | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| DXY | 2026-02-18 | [AUD/USD dips as USD strengthens before FOMC minutes, Aussie jobs data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20857-aud-usd-dips-as-usd-strengthens-before-fomc-minutes-aussie-jobs-data.md) | +0.2% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- stockwirex.com: https://stockwirex.com/news/aud-usd-forecast-rba-hike-fed-bets-november-2026/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.