# World Bank Forecasts Fertilizer Price Decline in 2027 Amid Rising Food Commodity Costs

> The World Bank forecasts global fertilizer prices will rise 14% in 2026, then fall 12% in 2027 and another 8% in 2028, as input costs ease and supply recovers. It also projects global food commodity prices will increase 10% in 2026 and 7% in 2027, citing shipment disruptions, weather risks including El Niño, and high energy costs; Hungarian farmers may face offsetting currency and transport costs.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-07T09:14:57.422Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/85839-world-bank-forecasts-fertilizer-price-decline-in-2027-amid-rising-food
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

The forecast points to weaker fertilizer costs from 2027, potentially easing crop input expenses, although the outlook implies higher costs in 2026. Food-price strength alongside fertilizer relief may depend on crop shipment and weather risks.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bearish ▼
- POTASH: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2020-01-15 | [Ample world fertiliser supplies keep prices in check: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55015-ample-world-fertiliser-supplies-keep-prices-in-check-rabobank-grain-central.md) | +1.3% | +11.3% |
| DAP | 2020-06-25 | [Mixed results for fertilizers amid COVID-19 panic](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52541-mixed-results-for-fertilizers-amid-covid-19-panic.md) | +4.8% | +10.7% |
| DAP | 2025-11-02 | [RaboResearch: Poor Affordability to Pressure Global Fertilizer Demand in 2026 - CropLife](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22291-raboresearch-poor-affordability-to-pressure-global-fertilizer-demand-in-2026.md) | +0.0% | -10.2% |
| DAP | 2023-04-08 | [Global Fertilizer Price Updates: March’ 2023 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5937-global-fertilizer-price-updates-march-2023.md) | +9.5% | -3.4% |
| DAP | 2023-04-13 | [Latest Data Shows Drop in Fertilizer Prices - MiningNewsWire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5939-latest-data-shows-drop-in-fertilizer-prices-miningnewswire.md) | +1.6% | -9.7% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLCZn4WHxSQ1nBac7Z4pUZ8V

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.