# Soybeans’ Worst Month of 2026: What USDA Data Could Bring

> Soybean futures fell nearly 6% in October, their largest monthly decline of 2026. Traders are watching the USDA’s November 9 reports, which could raise the agency’s record U.S. yield estimate of 53.1 bushels per acre; Brazil’s crop was 56% planted by the end of October, ahead of its five-year average.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-07T09:05:54.651Z
- Category: report · region United States and Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/85750-soybeans-worst-month-of-2026-what-usda-data-could-bring
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A higher U.S. yield estimate could increase expected supplies and pressure soybean prices. Brazil’s large role in China’s imports and its planting progress also heighten competition for U.S. export demand.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-11-14 | [Corn, soybeans plunge after USDA data undercuts bulls](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21886-corn-soybeans-plunge-after-usda-data-undercuts-bulls.md) | -0.8% | -4.9% |
| SOY | 2017-12-13 | [USDA bumps U.S. wheat, soybean carryover \| World-grain.com \| December 13, 2017 13:57 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67418-usda-bumps-u-s-wheat-soybean-carryover-world-grain-com-december-13-2017-13-57.md) | -2.0% | -3.6% |
| SOY | 2023-12-08 | [U.S. grains: CBOT grain, soybean futures tumble after monthly USDA data \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32635-u-s-grains-cbot-grain-soybean-futures-tumble-after-monthly-usda-data-farmtario.md) | +0.2% | -5.5% |
| SOY | 2018-10-12 | [USDA raises corn, soybean and wheat ending stocks estimates \| 2018-10-12  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62480-usda-raises-corn-soybean-and-wheat-ending-stocks-estimates-2018-10-12-world.md) | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| SOY | 2021-09-30 | [Soybeans down, corn mixed after USDA numbers - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45109-soybeans-down-corn-mixed-after-usda-numbers-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -3.3% | -3.5% |

## Sources

- agribusinesswire.com: https://agribusinesswire.com/articles/soybeans-post-worst-month-what-november-s-usda-reports-could-do

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.