# Russia’s Grain Harvest Will Decline, but Wheat Crop Will Rank Among the Five Largest

> Russian analysts forecast a 2026 grain and pulse harvest of 137.4 million tonnes, 4.5 million tonnes below 2025, including 89.8 million tonnes of wheat. IKAR lowered its total grain export potential estimate to 49 million tonnes, including 39.5 million tonnes of wheat, while estimating October wheat shipments through Baltic ports could rise 25% to 3 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-07T01:39:51.849Z
- Category: report · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/85387-russia-s-grain-harvest-will-decline-but-wheat-crop-will-rank-among-the-five
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower harvest and export estimates imply less Russian grain available to world markets, offering support to export prices, although the wheat crop remains historically large and Baltic shipments are increasing.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-03 | [Australia’s wheat harvest and exports will decline next season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30193-australia-s-wheat-harvest-and-exports-will-decline-next-season.md) | +2.0% | +14.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-30 | [A new decline in crop forecasts for the US, Canada and Russia continued to raise wheat prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46103-a-new-decline-in-crop-forecasts-for-the-us-canada-and-russia-continued-to-raise.md) | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-25 | [French wheat crop rating declines, barley harvest starts - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46524-french-wheat-crop-rating-declines-barley-harvest-starts-markets-business.md) | -0.2% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-08 | [France's Latest Forecasts Show How Grain Crops Are Feeling The Heat \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63467-france-s-latest-forecasts-show-how-grain-crops-are-feeling-the-heat-esm-magazine.md) | -3.0% | +3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-14 | [Global wheat production on the decline - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52052-global-wheat-production-on-the-decline-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | -1.8% |
| CORN | 2025-08-11 | [France raises wheat harvest forecast but expects corn production to decline](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23272-france-raises-wheat-harvest-forecast-but-expects-corn-production-to-decline.md) | -0.0% | +3.7% |
| CORN | 2018-08-08 | [France's Latest Forecasts Show How Grain Crops Are Feeling The Heat \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63467-france-s-latest-forecasts-show-how-grain-crops-are-feeling-the-heat-esm-magazine.md) | -8.2% | -9.1% |
| CORN | 2019-03-11 | [Net Farm Income Will Rise for Crops and Livestock, But Won't Make Up for 2018 Decline](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60077-net-farm-income-will-rise-for-crops-and-livestock-but-won-t-make-up-for-2018.md) | +3.0% | +0.5% |

## Sources

- chukotka-news.ru: https://chukotka-news.ru/society/2026/11/07/31762.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.