# EU Soybean Crop Falling 20% Due to Drought

> Donau Soja forecasts EU soybean production will fall about 20% in 2026, from 2.97 million metric tons in 2025 to roughly 2.36 million tons, after heat and drought cut yields. Non-GM soybean prices reached €513–530 per ton in October, while the EU remains only 8% self-sufficient in soybeans.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-06T21:06:14.535Z
- Category: weather · region European Union · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/84856-eu-soybean-crop-falling-20-due-to-drought
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller EU crop tightens local soybean availability and increases reliance on imports, supporting soybean prices and costs for processors and feed manufacturers.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2023-04-24 | [Argentina Soybean Crop Smallest in 25 Years Due to Historic Drought - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13969-argentina-soybean-crop-smallest-in-25-years-due-to-historic-drought-agweb.md) | -2.6% | -11.9% |
| SOY | 2023-09-04 | [Crop tour sees lower soybean estimates due to drought, record heat  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13245-crop-tour-sees-lower-soybean-estimates-due-to-drought-record-heat-world-grain.md) | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| SOY | 2021-07-26 | [Drought could take top end off of soybean yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46111-drought-could-take-top-end-off-of-soybean-yields.md) | +1.0% | -7.7% |
| SOY | 2020-03-16 | [AgRural reduces soybean forecast for 19/20 crop due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53980-agrural-reduces-soybean-forecast-for-19-20-crop-due-to-drought-in-rio-grande-do.md) | +1.9% | +0.9% |
| SOY | 2021-11-29 | [La Nina Is Set to Deliver Drought to Argentina’s Soybean Crop - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14070-la-nina-is-set-to-deliver-drought-to-argentina-s-soybean-crop-bloomberg.md) | +1.2% | +8.8% |
| SBM | 2023-04-24 | [Argentina Soybean Crop Smallest in 25 Years Due to Historic Drought - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13969-argentina-soybean-crop-smallest-in-25-years-due-to-historic-drought-agweb.md) | -1.9% | -7.8% |
| SBM | 2020-03-16 | [AgRural reduces soybean forecast for 19/20 crop due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53980-agrural-reduces-soybean-forecast-for-19-20-crop-due-to-drought-in-rio-grande-do.md) | +9.9% | -2.5% |
| SBM | 2021-11-29 | [La Nina Is Set to Deliver Drought to Argentina’s Soybean Crop - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14070-la-nina-is-set-to-deliver-drought-to-argentina-s-soybean-crop-bloomberg.md) | +1.9% | +13.4% |

## Sources

- feedandgrain.com: https://www.feedandgrain.com/business-markets/commodities/news/16424547/eu-soybean-crop-falling-20-due-to-drought

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.