# El Niño threatens Brazilian crops and raises concern in the countryside through 2027

> The article says El Niño-related rainfall contrasts and drought could affect Brazilian crops into the first half of 2027. In Paraná, excessive rain reduced winter-grain yields and quality; the state projects total winter-grain production at 2.84 million tonnes, down 28% from 2025, including wheat output of 1.9 million tonnes, down 34%.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-06T18:23:31.238Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/84660-el-nino-threatens-brazilian-crops-and-raises-concern-in-the-countryside-through
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Paraná wheat and other winter-grain output can tighten domestic supply and support prices, while weather risks to other crops may add further uncertainty. Excess rainfall has also impaired quality, potentially limiting wheat’s suitability for milling and increasing feed-use availability of downgraded grain.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-14 | [El Niño Likely to Develop, Threatening Crop Yields and Fueling Storm Concerns - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19188-el-nino-likely-to-develop-threatening-crop-yields-and-fueling-storm-concerns.md) | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-04 | [El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17395-el-nino-drives-crop-failure-in-central-america-and-east-africa-and-threatens.md) | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-02 | [Raising energy and fertilizer prices and upcoming El Niño main concerns to farming  - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19632-raising-energy-and-fertilizer-prices-and-upcoming-el-nino-main-concerns-to.md) | -1.7% | +1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-10-19 | [El Nino to continue into mid-2024, threatening agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33549-el-nino-to-continue-into-mid-2024-threatening-agriculture.md) | -2.6% | -4.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-16 | [Explainer: Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35897-explainer-why-el-nino-is-a-concern-for-indian-monsoon-rains.md) | -2.2% | -7.3% |
| OATS | 2021-10-12 | [Drought pinches oat crops — and food makers that rely on them](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44609-drought-pinches-oat-crops-and-food-makers-that-rely-on-them.md) | -1.6% | +7.5% |
| OATS | 2026-07-30 | [Heatwaves have taken 9 million tons of cereals from Europe. The losses amount to 2 billion euros.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18400-heatwaves-have-taken-9-million-tons-of-cereals-from-europe-the-losses-amount-to.md) | +1.4% | +3.9% |
| OATS | 2026-07-17 | [IGC Reports Heatwaves in Europe Lower 2026/27 Global Cereal Harvest; Soybean and Rice Outlooks Adjusted \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18398-igc-reports-heatwaves-in-europe-lower-2026-27-global-cereal-harvest-soybean-and.md) | -2.8% | -5.3% |

## Sources

- agro.anunciaunai.com.br: https://agro.anunciaunai.com.br/el-nino-ameaca-safras-brasileiras-e-gera-alerta-no-campo-ate-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.