# ‘Simply staggering’: Rapidly developing ‘super El Niño’ on track to peak in December - Carbon Brief

> Climate models indicate that the ongoing El Niño could peak near the end of 2026, with a Niño3.4 temperature anomaly around 4°C. The event has already contributed to fires in Indonesia and powerful typhoons in the western Pacific, and could push global temperatures to record levels next year.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-06T12:15:23.779Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/83892-simply-staggering-rapidly-developing-super-el-nino-on-track-to-peak-in-december
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The forecast signals elevated risk of disruptive weather, but the article does not specify crop losses or supply changes for particular commodities. Any price effect for feed ingredients remains uncertain at this stage.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-01-22 | [Will El Niño be slow to develop? \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20953-will-el-nino-be-slow-to-develop-world-grain.md) | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| CORN | 2026-05-14 | [El Niño Likely to Develop, Threatening Crop Yields and Fueling Storm Concerns - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19188-el-nino-likely-to-develop-threatening-crop-yields-and-fueling-storm-concerns.md) | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| CORN | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.4% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2019-09-25 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| September Climate Briefing: El Niño Stalls in Neutral](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56985-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-september-climate.md) | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| CORN | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| SOY | 2026-01-22 | [Will El Niño be slow to develop? \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20953-will-el-nino-be-slow-to-develop-world-grain.md) | +1.0% | +7.2% |
| SOY | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2019-09-25 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| September Climate Briefing: El Niño Stalls in Neutral](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56985-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-september-climate.md) | +2.8% | +4.4% |

## Sources

- carbonbrief.org: https://www.carbonbrief.org/simply-staggering-rapidly-developing-super-el-nino-on-track-to-peak-in-december

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.