# Fewer Mexican Cattle, Higher U.S. Prices?

> University of Missouri researchers modeled the effects of Mexican feeder-cattle imports remaining well below historical levels through 2031, following restrictions imposed in 2025 over New World screwworm concerns. They project that reduced imports would leave U.S. cattle prices higher than if trade returned to historical levels, even if more cattle are finished and processed in Mexico and Mexican beef adds to market competition.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-06T09:16:32.540Z
- Category: disease · region United States and Mexico · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/83758-fewer-mexican-cattle-higher-u-s-prices
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Fewer Mexican feeder cattle entering the United States would tighten U.S. cattle supplies and support cattle prices; additional Mexican beef supply could temper the effect but is not projected to erase it. The story concerns a modeled outcome rather than a new restriction or immediate supply change.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-01-20 | [Deadly parasite halts Mexican cattle imports to U.S.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26449-deadly-parasite-halts-mexican-cattle-imports-to-u-s.md) | +2.3% | -1.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-01-30 | [Feeder cattle prices should remain at historical highs in 2025 - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26636-feeder-cattle-prices-should-remain-at-historical-highs-in-2025-grainews.md) | -3.5% | -1.5% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-04-06 | [Why are cattle prices surging in the U.S. right now?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10267-why-are-cattle-prices-surging-in-the-u-s-right-now.md) | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-06-01 | [An economist says the loss of Mexican feeder cattle is hitting U.S. feedlots hard, tightening supplies and driving up beef prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19393-an-economist-says-the-loss-of-mexican-feeder-cattle-is-hitting-u-s-feedlots.md) | +1.6% | +5.5% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-05-12 | [Cattle futures surge over US halt to Mexican cattle imports \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24636-cattle-futures-surge-over-us-halt-to-mexican-cattle-imports-reuters.md) | -0.4% | +4.6% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-01-20 | [Deadly parasite halts Mexican cattle imports to U.S.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26449-deadly-parasite-halts-mexican-cattle-imports-to-u-s.md) | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-01-30 | [Feeder cattle prices should remain at historical highs in 2025 - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26636-feeder-cattle-prices-should-remain-at-historical-highs-in-2025-grainews.md) | -0.7% | -4.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-04-06 | [Why are cattle prices surging in the U.S. right now?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10267-why-are-cattle-prices-surging-in-the-u-s-right-now.md) | +3.1% | +3.6% |

## Sources

- aginfo.net: https://www.aginfo.net/report/66560/Southeast-Regional-Ag-News/Fewer-Mexican-Cattle-Higher-U-S-Prices-

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.