# Out of Agoa, into the green rulebook

> South Africa is set to lose preferential access to the US market under AGOA from January, putting farmers who produce specifically for that market at a disadvantage. Despite the loss, South African agricultural exports rose 9.1% year on year to $4.12 billion in the second quarter of 2026, with growth in exports to Vietnam, Saudi Arabia and China; the EU and Africa together took 70.7% of exports.

- Date: 2026-11-06 · published 2026-11-06T03:18:03.949Z
- Category: trade · region South Africa · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/83350-out-of-agoa-into-the-green-rulebook
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Losing US preferences could redirect South African agricultural trade and weaken demand for products tailored to US buyers, while growth in other markets may partly offset that impact. Stricter EU green standards could raise compliance costs for exporters seeking to shift sales to Europe.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-10-28 | [Corn and Soybeans in the Green](https://feedsoft.ai/events/77-corn-and-soybeans-in-the-green.md) | -1.6% | — |
| SOY | 2021-11-03 | [China Willing to Buy $20 Billion of U.S. Ag in Year One - The Scoop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14981-china-willing-to-buy-20-billion-of-u-s-ag-in-year-one-the-scoop.md) | -3.6% | -1.3% |
| SOY | 2023-07-20 | [BIMCO: Shipping Number of The Week - Key US grain exports could fall 15% in 2023, brighter outlook ahead](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35232-bimco-shipping-number-of-the-week-key-us-grain-exports-could-fall-15-in-2023.md) | +3.7% | -10.5% |
| SOY | 2019-12-14 | [Grains go green for Phase 1 trade deal — this week in the grain markets - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12111-grains-go-green-for-phase-1-trade-deal-this-week-in-the-grain-markets.md) | +2.3% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2022-06-15 | [Lifting Tariffs on China - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14925-lifting-tariffs-on-china-ag-information-network-of-the-west.md) | -2.7% | -5.2% |
| SBM | 2025-10-29 | [Comments to USTR on the Review of the U.S.-Mexico Canada Agreement (USMCA) - Public Citizen](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22352-comments-to-ustr-on-the-review-of-the-u-s-mexico-canada-agreement-usmca-public.md) | +3.4% | +2.2% |
| SBM | 2020-12-03 | [Economist’s Angle: The Outlook for Growth in Chinese Soybean Demand - American Soybean Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49647-economist-s-angle-the-outlook-for-growth-in-chinese-soybean-demand-american.md) | -1.3% | +11.5% |
| SBM | 2026-03-01 | [Will Ukraine be able to export all of its grain in 2026?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14133-will-ukraine-be-able-to-export-all-of-its-grain-in-2026.md) | -0.1% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- businessday.co.za: https://www.businessday.co.za/opinion/2026-11-06-carlyn-frittelli-davies-and-sandile-nhlengetwa-out-of-agoa-into-the-green-rulebook/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.