# In Estonia, raw milk purchase prices fell 23%, but shelf price of drinking milk fell only 4-7%

> Estonia’s raw milk purchase prices fell 23% year over year, while retail prices for drinking milk declined by only 4–7%, according to a price-margin study by METK. The study also found that pork carcass prices fell 22% even as retail minced-pork prices rose 38%, with retailers taking a larger share of the final price for the products examined.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-06T03:17:38.324Z
- Category: report · region Estonia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/83347-in-estonia-raw-milk-purchase-prices-fell-23-but-shelf-price-of-drinking-milk
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Lower farm-gate milk prices have not passed through proportionally to consumers, limiting the demand stimulus that cheaper retail milk might provide and squeezing the farm-to-retail price share. The report indicates margin and price-transmission dynamics rather than a new supply shock, so the direct commodity-price signal is limited.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bearish ▼
- MILK: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2023-01-30 | [All Milk Prices Expected To Drop In 2023](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5878-all-milk-prices-expected-to-drop-in-2023.md) | -8.0% | -8.4% |
| MILK | 2026-02-01 | [USDA says milk, dairy product prices fell in December](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21217-usda-says-milk-dairy-product-prices-fell-in-december.md) | +5.2% | +2.1% |
| MILK | 2025-12-18 | [Dairy Market Outlook: Milk Supplies Steady, Prices Ease in 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21495-dairy-market-outlook-milk-supplies-steady-prices-ease-in-2026.md) | -0.4% | -6.9% |
| MILK | 2026-07-01 | [Milk class prices shrink in June report \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8574-milk-class-prices-shrink-in-june-report-ag-proud.md) | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| MILK | 2022-10-21 | [The Farmer's Exchange Online USDA Raises Forecasts for Milk Production, Butter, Cheese Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39142-the-farmer-s-exchange-online-usda-raises-forecasts-for-milk-production-butter.md) | 0.0% | -3.7% |
| HOGS | 2026-08-19 | [SunSirs: National Bureau of Statistics – China Pork Prices Fell 13.4% from January to July](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17907-sunsirs-national-bureau-of-statistics-china-pork-prices-fell-13-4-from-january.md) | -1.4% | -5.6% |
| HOGS | 2020-07-28 | [U.S. a bright spot in pork production — but those prices ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52247-u-s-a-bright-spot-in-pork-production-but-those-prices.md) | -3.1% | +3.0% |
| HOGS | 2023-04-11 | [Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Report – Hog Markets Will Need Strong Demand to Bring Better Prices in 2023 \| Farm Bureau Intel Markets \| American Farm Bureau Federation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36549-quarterly-hogs-and-pigs-report-hog-markets-will-need-strong-demand-to-bring.md) | -1.8% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- en.reflect.ee: https://en.reflect.ee/article/in-estonia-raw-milk-purchase-prices-fell-23-but-shelf-price-of-drinking-milk-fel-521878

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.