# Ukraine’s wheat exports in 2026 could fall by half due to Russian attacks on ports

> Ukraine’s agricultural exports in the 2026–27 marketing year could fall by more than half to about 29.6 million tonnes, according to a forecast attributed to the agriculture ministry. Russian attacks on Black Sea ports have discouraged ships from calling, and wheat shipments could decline by nearly half.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-06T01:38:34.866Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Ukraine · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/83119-ukraine-s-wheat-exports-in-2026-could-fall-by-half-due-to-russian-attacks-on
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced access to Ukrainian ports could sharply cut exportable grain supplies, tightening availability for importers and supporting global wheat prices. The lower export outlook also threatens Ukraine’s foreign-currency earnings.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-01 | [Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports cause drop in food exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14155-russian-attacks-on-ukrainian-ports-cause-drop-in-food-exports.md) | +0.7% | +3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-15 | [Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14105-focus-russian-attacks-could-cut-ukraine-grain-exports-by-a-third-reuters.md) | +3.6% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-25 | [Grain exports stall as Ukraine steps up attacks on Russia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14094-grain-exports-stall-as-ukraine-steps-up-attacks-on-russia.md) | +1.7% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-02-19 | [Ukraine's grain, iron ore exports hit by Russian strikes on ports this winter \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14135-ukraine-s-grain-iron-ore-exports-hit-by-russian-strikes-on-ports-this-winter.md) | +1.8% | +3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-07 | [Ukrainian grain rail exports collapse 95% to Black Sea ports in August 2026 · h.ua](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17501-ukrainian-grain-rail-exports-collapse-95-to-black-sea-ports-in-august-2026-h-ua.md) | +1.5% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2026-01-01 | [Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports cause drop in food exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14155-russian-attacks-on-ukrainian-ports-cause-drop-in-food-exports.md) | +0.6% | -0.9% |
| CORN | 2026-06-15 | [Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14105-focus-russian-attacks-could-cut-ukraine-grain-exports-by-a-third-reuters.md) | -0.8% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2026-02-19 | [Ukraine's grain, iron ore exports hit by Russian strikes on ports this winter \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14135-ukraine-s-grain-iron-ore-exports-hit-by-russian-strikes-on-ports-this-winter.md) | +0.6% | +7.4% |

## Sources

- informator.ua: https://informator.ua/uk/eksport-pshenici-z-ukrajini-u-2026-roci-mozhe-vpasti-vdvichi-cherez-ataki-rosiyan-po-portah

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.