# US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Rally Persists Following Fed and ECB

> EUR/USD continued to rally after the Fed and ECB decisions, reaching a monthly high near 1.1009. The ECB plans to reduce its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program by EUR7.5 billion per month on average in the second half of 2024.

- Date: 2023-12-14 · published 2023-12-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/8303-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-rally-persists-following-fed-and-ecb
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A steady euro rally and Fed signals that its policy rate is near peak tilt currency flows against the dollar, which can affect the dollar cost of imported feed ingredients and US export competitiveness.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | 1 | +1.9% | 3.9 | Describes the EUR/USD rally to a monthly high near 1.1009 following the Fed and ECB decisions, confirming the move. |
| DXY | 2023-12-14 | 1 | -1.3% | -3.8 | EUR/USD continued rallying to a monthly high after the Fed and ECB decisions, reflecting the dollar's decline. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2019-12-12 | [Euro buoyed before ECB meeting as Fed forecast knocks dollar \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55785-euro-buoyed-before-ecb-meeting-as-fed-forecast-knocks-dollar-financial-post.md) | +0.2% | +0.2% |
| EURUSD | 2025-11-25 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut.md) | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| EURUSD | 2021-09-17 | [Euro-Dollar Rate Heavy Despite Leaked ECB Inflation Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45270-euro-dollar-rate-heavy-despite-leaked-ecb-inflation-forecasts.md) | -0.2% | -1.4% |
| EURUSD | 2021-07-30 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate Climbs To Three-Week High On Disappointing US GDP](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46297-eur-usd-forecast-euro-us-dollar-exchange-rate-climbs-to-three-week-high-on.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | [Euro-Dollar Closing On 1.10 As ECB Resists Rate Cut Bets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8300-euro-dollar-closing-on-1-10-as-ecb-resists-rate-cut-bets.md) | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| DXY | 2024-09-30 | [US Dollar Forecast: Fed’s easing weighs on the Dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28507-us-dollar-forecast-fed-s-easing-weighs-on-the-dollar.md) | +0.9% | +3.1% |
| DXY | 2019-12-12 | [Euro buoyed before ECB meeting as Fed forecast knocks dollar \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55785-euro-buoyed-before-ecb-meeting-as-fed-forecast-knocks-dollar-financial-post.md) | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| DXY | 2025-11-25 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut.md) | -0.6% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- forex.com: https://www.forex.com/en-us/news-and-analysis/us-dollar-forecast-eurusd-rally-persists-following-fed-and-ecb-12-14-2023/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.