# Euro-Dollar Closing On 1.10 As ECB Resists Rate Cut Bets

> The euro moved toward 1.10 against the dollar after the ECB held rates and warned against expectations of a March rate cut. Euro-dollar touched 1.0990 following the ECB guidance that rates would stay restrictive for as long as necessary.

- Date: 2023-12-14 · published 2023-12-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/8300-euro-dollar-closing-on-1-10-as-ecb-resists-rate-cut-bets
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Diverging Fed and ECB rate expectations drive currency moves that affect the dollar value of commodity trade, particularly for European buyers of US feed ingredients.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | 1 | +1.9% | 3.9 | ECB held rates and pushed back against March rate-cut bets, supporting the euro as it approached 1.10. |
| DXY | 2023-12-14 | 1 | -1.3% | -3.8 | The ECB's pushback against March cut bets lifted the euro toward 1.10, contributing to the broad dollar decline via the largest index component. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2023-01-23 | [Dollar edges lower vs euro on ECB rate hike bets \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37999-dollar-edges-lower-vs-euro-on-ecb-rate-hike-bets-reuters.md) | +0.2% | -1.4% |
| EURUSD | 2022-05-23 | [Euro climbs as ECB eyes rate hikes, dollar slides \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12687-euro-climbs-as-ecb-eyes-rate-hikes-dollar-slides-reuters.md) | +1.4% | -0.1% |
| EURUSD | 2019-10-31 | [Euro rises as dollar weakens on questions about more Fed rate cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56782-euro-rises-as-dollar-weakens-on-questions-about-more-fed-rate-cuts.md) | -0.4% | -0.9% |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | [Dollar tumbles on dovish Fed, euro gains as ECB talks down rate cuts – ThePrint – ReutersFeed](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8298-dollar-tumbles-on-dovish-fed-euro-gains-as-ecb-talks-down-rate-cuts-theprint.md) | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-22 | [Euro (EUR USD) Hits Strongest Since August as Dollar Eases on US Rate Bets - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32927-euro-eur-usd-hits-strongest-since-august-as-dollar-eases-on-us-rate-bets.md) | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| DXY | 2019-06-20 | [Dollar extends losses on Fed rate cut bets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7441-dollar-extends-losses-on-fed-rate-cut-bets.md) | -1.1% | -0.8% |
| DXY | 2023-01-23 | [Dollar edges lower vs euro on ECB rate hike bets \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37999-dollar-edges-lower-vs-euro-on-ecb-rate-hike-bets-reuters.md) | -0.4% | +1.0% |
| DXY | 2024-08-19 | [Sterling hits one-month high as Fed rate cut bets weigh on dollar \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29068-sterling-hits-one-month-high-as-fed-rate-cut-bets-weigh-on-dollar-reuters.md) | -0.8% | -0.7% |

## Sources

- poundsterlinglive.com: https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/eurusd/19640-euro-dollar-extends-advance-as-ecb-resists-rate-cut-bets

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.