# Winter Crops in Ukraine Lag 2–3 Weeks Behind Average Due to Early Autumn Drought and Late Sowing

> Ukraine’s winter crops are developing two to three weeks behind average after early-autumn drought and late sowing, although October rains replenished soil moisture and crop conditions are generally good to satisfactory. By November 4, 85.4% of planned winter cereal area had been sown; barley sowing was 70.8% complete, while winter rapeseed sowing exceeded plan by 4.2%.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-06T00:16:01.189Z
- Category: weather · region Ukraine · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/82820-winter-crops-in-ukraine-lag-2-3-weeks-behind-average-due-to-early-autumn
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

The slow development and remaining unsown acreage leave some crops more exposed to winter weather, creating modest upside risk for wheat and barley prices if establishment or winter survival suffers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-23 | [Early Spring Drought Review for US Grain and Oilseed Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13379-early-spring-drought-review-for-us-grain-and-oilseed-crops.md) | +1.3% | -9.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-22 | [Drought hampering Black Sea crop sowing sparks light in wheat prices
 \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51175-drought-hampering-black-sea-crop-sowing-sparks-light-in-wheat-prices-the-land.md) | +5.6% | +10.6% |
| WHEAT | 2017-05-23 | [Drought and cold decimate EU grain harvest - Wheat harvest above average \| Boerenbusiness. Nl](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70951-drought-and-cold-decimate-eu-grain-harvest-wheat-harvest-above-average.md) | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2018-03-13 | [Drought threat intensifies for U.S. Plains winter wheat crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66052-drought-threat-intensifies-for-u-s-plains-winter-wheat-crop.md) | -1.6% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-10 | [Eastern drought pushes Australian winter crop forecast lower - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62503-eastern-drought-pushes-australian-winter-crop-forecast-lower-grain-central.md) | +8.2% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLLqAHtCfNMLB5HbufqvuY9i

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
