# Western Pacific faces drier months as El Niño strengthens

> The WMO expects below-normal rainfall across parts of the north-west and south-west Pacific from November 2026 to January 2027 as El Niño strengthens. Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji and Tonga have already reported water shortages, and higher temperatures could worsen drought conditions.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-06T00:15:21.817Z
- Category: weather · region Western Pacific · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/82811-western-pacific-faces-drier-months-as-el-nino-strengthens
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Continued dryness may constrain water availability and agricultural production in affected islands, although the article does not identify a specific crop supply shock or price move.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-08-24 | [India faces weakest monsoon in nearly two decades as El Nino strengthens \| MarketScreener India](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17831-india-faces-weakest-monsoon-in-nearly-two-decades-as-el-nino-strengthens.md) | +3.4% | +6.9% |
| CORN | 2023-09-06 | [From rice to palm oil, crop output forecasts for Asia-Pacific lower as El Nino strengthens \| The Straits Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33998-from-rice-to-palm-oil-crop-output-forecasts-for-asia-pacific-lower-as-el-nino.md) | -1.3% | -6.5% |
| CORN | 2023-08-30 | [From rice to palm oil, Asian crops output forecast lower as El Nino strengthens](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34470-from-rice-to-palm-oil-asian-crops-output-forecast-lower-as-el-nino-strengthens.md) | -0.0% | -8.2% |
| CORN | 2024-06-17 | [As El Niño Wanes, Food Security Pain Remains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29663-as-el-nino-wanes-food-security-pain-remains.md) | -4.3% | -9.0% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17395-el-nino-drives-crop-failure-in-central-america-and-east-africa-and-threatens.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| SOY | 2026-08-24 | [India faces weakest monsoon in nearly two decades as El Nino strengthens \| MarketScreener India](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17831-india-faces-weakest-monsoon-in-nearly-two-decades-as-el-nino-strengthens.md) | +5.0% | +8.5% |
| SOY | 2024-02-19 | [The El Niño weather pattern shapes 2024 commodity price forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31589-the-el-nino-weather-pattern-shapes-2024-commodity-price-forecast.md) | -3.1% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2023-05-05 | [What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35868-what-an-el-nino-could-mean-for-food-prices-epic.md) | -0.4% | -6.6% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/media/news/western-pacific-faces-drier-months-el-nino-strengthens

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.