# Ukraine: USDA estimates diverge on corn and wheat exports

> For 2026/27, USDA’s official forecast puts Ukraine’s corn exports at 22.0 million tonnes and wheat exports at 12.5 million tonnes, while the agency’s Kyiv office estimates 10.2 million and 8.70 million tonnes, respectively. The Kyiv office also forecasts sharply higher ending stocks, citing restrictions on Black Sea port use that constrain grain marketing.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-06T00:13:45.965Z
- Category: trade · region Ukraine · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/82793-ukraine-usda-estimates-diverge-on-corn-and-wheat-exports
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower export availability from Ukraine could tighten global corn and wheat supply and support prices, while larger stocks indicate grain may remain trapped domestically. The gap between the estimates highlights uncertainty over how much Ukrainian grain can reach export markets.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-06-11 | [Corn, ethanol exports on pace to top estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64528-corn-ethanol-exports-on-pace-to-top-estimates.md) | -3.5% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2017-10-19 | [U.S. grains: Soy, wheat, corn firm on export demand - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68544-u-s-grains-soy-wheat-corn-firm-on-export-demand-agcanada.md) | +0.4% | -5.5% |
| CORN | 2025-01-21 | [Export prices for barley in Ukraine reached the level of corn and feed wheat prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26576-export-prices-for-barley-in-ukraine-reached-the-level-of-corn-and-feed-wheat.md) | -0.5% | +3.8% |
| CORN | 2017-03-24 | [USDA exports – Corn, soybean, wheat sales up for the week](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71846-usda-exports-corn-soybean-wheat-sales-up-for-the-week.md) | +0.4% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2024-03-25 | [Ukraine's ags exports slow on lower corn shipments \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14316-ukraine-s-ags-exports-slow-on-lower-corn-shipments-latest-market-news.md) | -4.9% | -6.9% |
| WHEAT | 2020-02-19 | [Supply, Quality and Price Support USDA Wheat Export Estimates - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54638-supply-quality-and-price-support-usda-wheat-export-estimates-u-s-wheat.md) | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-19 | [U.S. grains: Soy, wheat, corn firm on export demand - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68544-u-s-grains-soy-wheat-corn-firm-on-export-demand-agcanada.md) | +0.2% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-21 | [Export prices for barley in Ukraine reached the level of corn and feed wheat prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26576-export-prices-for-barley-in-ukraine-reached-the-level-of-corn-and-feed-wheat.md) | +3.4% | +5.7% |

## Sources

- argenfields.com: https://www.argenfields.com/en/noticias/ucrania-el-usda-difiere-sobre-las-exportaciones-de-maiz-y-trigo-d06e83

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.