# Across Brazil, El Niño adds to crop problems for 2027

> Excess rain is hurting sugarcane harvests and winter grains in the Center-South, while dryness threatens Amazon nut production. In Paraná, the state agriculture department (Deral) forecasts winter grain output down 28% from 2025, with wheat down 34%. Rain during harvest also reduced wheat quality.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-05T21:10:51.725Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/82441-across-brazil-el-nino-adds-to-crop-problems-for-2027
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Paraná wheat output and quality tighten domestic milling supply and support Brazilian wheat demand for imports. The El Niño risks extend into the first half of 2027, keeping the weather premium alive.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-21 | [What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19191-what-a-possible-2026-27-super-el-nino-means-for-commodity-markets.md) | -1.6% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-26 | [No Shortage of Problems Pointing to Higher Crop Prices Ahead](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40064-no-shortage-of-problems-pointing-to-higher-crop-prices-ahead.md) | +0.4% | +5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-05 | [Winter crop prediction for 2023-24 expands on dryer El Niño threat - Australasian Farmers' & Dealers' Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35434-winter-crop-prediction-for-2023-24-expands-on-dryer-el-nino-threat-australasian.md) | -3.9% | +6.8% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-23 | [El Niño expected to bring “normal” wheat crop in Australia - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37301-el-nino-expected-to-bring-normal-wheat-crop-in-australia-fastmarkets.md) | -3.0% | -8.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-09-01 | [Global El Niño forecasts predict a Very Strong event for 2023/24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34476-global-el-nino-forecasts-predict-a-very-strong-event-for-2023-24.md) | +0.1% | +1.1% |

## Sources

- visaoagro.com.br: https://visaoagro.com.br/de-norte-a-sul-do-brasil-el-nino-amplia-complicacoes-para-safras-em-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.